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SPORTS BETTING INDEX was founded in 2000 to help punters with all aspects of internet betting as the phenomenon of online gambling took off.
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Newsletter 28

This week we have a guest writer Dan who takes a good look at Sundays Milan-San Remo one day cycling classic. If you would like to showcase your writing talents from a betting perspective then simply get in touch and you could be penning next weeks newsletter!

The first of the five prestigious and oldest Monuments on the pro cycling calendar is also the longest! At a total of 294 kilometres, the Milan-San Remo one-day classic is considerably longer than the others, most of which have the finish line at approximately 260. As with most years, there are many good riders on the start line for this year’s event, however most haven’t won a race over 200 kilometres, let alone one at nearly 300. Therefore, when looking for a rider who is suited for what is called the ‘Sprinters Classic’, it is wise to consider a rider who has proven himself over the distance, and therefore logically this race in particular.

This preview might have looked very different just twelve hours ago with the way UCI governs start lists, and it can be quite perilous to take an antepost position with your selection in a bike race, since markets like BetFair have an ‘all-in’ policy whereby if your antepost selection is withdrawn from the race by the team or officials, your stake in that rider is removed from the market and you are beginning with effectively, a loss.

One high-quality rider who will be taking the start line is the deserving favourite Peter Sagan. With a third and fourth in his last two appearances at "Classicissima" the crafty and characteristically well-suited (for this race) Slovakian has shown excellent form in recent races. Having been riding in Italy since his 2nd place finish to Michal Kwiatkowski in the 197 kilometre-long Strade Bianche one day classic, he appears well-settled and happy.

Anyone who witnessed his scintillating turn-of-speed to finish fifth in last week’s stage two of the Tirreno-Adriatico stage race, was taking all the 2/1 odds of him winning the very next stage, which he did with aplomb and some poetic justice, in beating the same Kwiatkowski who denied him earlier in Strade Bianche over what was a much sharper gradient toward the finish than the one on this occasion.

At 24 years-of-age Peter Sagan is getting better with each season, and that trajectory suggests that given he doesn’t encounter any bad luck in the race like a puncture, crash, or split in the peloton, he should be deeply involved in the proceedings of the finale.

Whilst terribly short and whilst he doesn’t necessarily have the best team to offer him enduring support, Peter Sagan does have the pirate-skills necessary to find or make the elite selection from many places along the course, especially at the foot, along, or over-the-top of the 3.7 kilometre long Poggio, the final climb. Moreover, with inclement weather predicted for the race, along with some not inconsiderable wind from directions changing throughout the day, the teams in the peloton will face added challenges to control the race for their leaders, whilst Sagan has the necessary bike-handling skills and fearless approach to even attack on the descent, and then also has the devastating sprint necessary to hold off even the outright sprinters.

Peter Sagan 7/2 WIN ONLY with lots of books

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