contact us | about us | sitemap
follow SBI on follow SBI on Twitter
Sports Betting Index - sportsbettingindex.com
home bookmakers odds comparison betting blog betting tools useful sites newsletters tipping results
Tipping Results
Find out how the
Free Tips put on the
blog are faring
Blog Archive
2012
2011
2010
SBI Blog 2010 All of our blogs from 2010
December 29th 09.52
I have got itchy feet waiting for the new seasons to start so I couldn't resist a trawl through all the Money List bets that Skybet have put up and decided to have an e/w Yankee for some interest for the rest of the year (hopefully!)
US Money List w/o Woods - Matt Kuchar - much as I said about last years Money List winner being a big price for the Masters I also don't see why he should be such a big price to repeat his feats of last season 25/1
Champions Tour Money List - Michael Allen - finished 9th last year despite only playing in fourteen events - he has an excellent Majors record and concentrating on this tour for the first time I can see him winning a lot of cash 33/1
Race to Dubai w/o the Big Three - Alvaro Quiros - has improved his Money List position every year on tour - 102/25/20/14 - and is becoming more consistent in the big events - I expect him to improve again in 2011 33/1
Race to Dubai top French player - Romain Wattel - I don't think the French players are really strong at the moment and someone who will contend fo Rookie of the Year will be able to win more money than most 11/2
December 27th 10.49
Good morning all - I hope you had a great Christmas and hopefully the weather will continue to improve so we can start betting on things - the thaw has started in Devon overnight - just hope it spreads! If you haven't read it already there is an interesting article on this site looking at the effects of bad weather on horse racing - you can read it here
December 23rd 16.50
I keep reading stories of bookmakers paying out hundreds of thousands of pounds on it being a White Christmas but they are basically going to rake it in with there only being a chance of the odd flake around South East England. ~
This will probably be the last post til after Christmas - so may I take this opportunity to wish you all a very Merry Christmas.
December 20th 19.24
Betting antepost on golf can be fraught with danger with potential loss of form or injury but sometimes the price makes it worthwhile having a decent bet. The Masters is quite a good event to bet in as it has a limited field (many of whom are already known) and is played at the same venue at the same time of year so a lot of the lottery has gone. So what I don't understand is why the man who won the money list in 2010 is 80/1? Matt Kuchar really has been incredibly consistent this year - in fact ever since he hit form in October last year when he won at Atunyote. His Major record isn't exceptional but isn't that bad - this year his finishes read 24/6/27/10 and this year was the first time he has played the Masters since 2002 when he missed the cut. He played Augusta twice as an amateur making the cut both times and in 1998 he was low amateur. This years 24th place finish was achieved in difficult circumstances as he played the first two rounds with Tiger on his return to competition. He says he feels at home at Augusta as he went to Georgia Tech and having led the money list this year and had the lowest scoring average on tour I can see him gunning for Majors in 2011 and to me 80/1 is plainly wrong - I would have him at 40/1 tops and have duly had £80 ew - good luck in getting on - best prices here
December 20th 11.27
Scouring the antepost markets for any wothwhile bets - might well have found someone way overpriced for the US Masters - back later with further thoughts.
December 19th 21.50
Unsurprisingly Cejka finished a shot out of the places but we got a small return without the big four - thankyou Skybet!
In SPOTY it wasn't to be and tbh AP was the worthy winner - my only two comments would be - never back a golfer in this ever again and where the hell were the Ennis backers last year when she won the worlds!!
There won't be many bets from me before the New Year but I will be looking at antepost bets over the next few days so stay tuned for anything new
December 19th 10.09
Stage one completed - Hiratsuka wins in Thailand at 33/1 - just need stage two and three now lol. Cejka could still grab a place in South Africa and then we have Amy Williams tonight - back later - off for a walk in the snow and a Sunday pub lunch!
December 18th 16.10
Still on line for a nice payday before Christmas as Hiratsuka is one shot off the lead and now favourite to win in Thailand. In South Africa Cejka slipped back a bit but is still not without a chance with 36 holes being played on Sunday (hopefully) anything is possible - and even Kingston shot eight under today to get back on track.
December 17th 17.45
The kids have broken up from school, the tree will go up tomorrow and the snow has been falling - all I need for myself and for you is a good Christmas present and after last week the picks are trying again this week. Hiratsuka couldn't quite match yesterdays great round but is still close by in a tie for 5th. The South African Open finally completed the first round today and no-one knows if it will be 36,54 or 72 holes - but they won't go to Monday. Amazingly Cejka is tied for the lead - making it three events on the bounce I have had the round one leader - and not a penny invested on any of them - DOH! - it's going to be another long weekend at SBI Towers!
December 16th 10.22
A distinct feeling of Deja Vu this morning as yet again I have the early leader on far off shores - Hiratsuka leads after round one in the Black Mountain Masters - this time around it would be nice if he stays there! Sadly bad weather has halted play in South Africa - I was looking forward to watching that today.
December 15th 13.52
For the final outright golf bets of 2010 we travel to Thailand and the Black Mountain Masters where I have gone for two players. First up is Japanese player Tetsuji Hiratsuka who early in 2009 decided to try his hand on the Asian Tour and quickly made his mark by getting the 5th card at the Q school in Thailand and then in his first event finishing second at the Aisan Tour International again in Thailand. He didn't play a lot more on this tour last year as in May he won in his native Japan. This year he has played eight times in Asia and has managed two wins and a couple of thirds - one of each came in Thailand. He rounded off his Japanese season with a fourth place finish in the season ender so comes here in good form - 33/1 seems a bit generous to me - £50 ew.
Second pick goes to young Indian player Anirban Lahiri whose first top five placing on the Asian tour came here at the Black Mountains event. Whilst he hasn't won on the main tour yet he has won three times from seven starts in his native India this year and was fourth last time out in Cambodia. I was lucky enough to get on with Extrabet £15 win 66/1 and £35 top five 14/1.
December 14th 16.34
I have added another player to my list for the South African in the shape of Alex Haindl who was an impressive 6th in the Alfred Dunhill Championship last week - at one point being in the lead. He was born in Durban and his first ever professional win came on this course in the 2006 Sun Coast Classic. I don't think last week was a one off as he has also been 4th in the co-sanctioned Joburg Open as well. I was waiting for the tee times to be announced and am glad to see he has an early one so have backed him in a few different ways - £10 ew round one leader 100/1, £5 ew without the big 4 80/1, £20 top 5 28/1 and just in case £10 win 230/1.
December 13th 21.12
A bit of an odd one this for the South African Open - away from the big four the players are not giants on the world stage so what price someone who was top five in two PGA events, top ten at the US Open at Pebble Beach in 2010 and who was third on his only European tour start this year before last week? Well I don't think Alex Cejka should be 100/1. In recent months his form hasn't been great but his online blog reveals the reasons why and explains why he is playing this week - he wants to be a Euro tour member in order to try and get on the Ryder Cup team for 2012. Last week was the first time he had teed it up in South Africa since the 1999 South African Open when he was 10th - the year before he was 9th here at Durban. I have backed him in a variety of markets mainly with Skybet - £15 ew 100/1, £12 top 5 20/1, allowed £6 ew 66/1 without the big four and £10 win Betfair 120.
December 13th 16.09
Pick yourself up, dust yourself off and start all over again!
Just one early bet for the South African Open and to be honest its rather obvious - James Kingston. He plays quirky Durban really well - having been 9th, 3rd and 4th here in the last three opens, he won his home open in 2007 at Pearl Valley and was 8th last year. He warmed up with a 10th at Leopard Creek last week which would have been much better but for a poor 77 in the third round but he did lead the GIR stats for the week. I guess the price reflects his chances but was happy to get £75 ew on at 40/1
December 12th 22.11
Sometimes this game really does test you - today has probably been the most frustrating of the year - two players tied for 6th at 100/1 and 150/1 - off to bed to cry myself to sleep - back tomorrow! Sigh!
December 12th 10.03
The Australian PGA goes to a 5th day - at least I will be able to follow it tonight but it does look like our man Gates has been a bit unlucky having to take a drop into an awkward stance in a bunker because of lying water and it sounds like both he and Senior are in trouble having teed off at the 10th. In South Africa Dinwiddie has had a very up and down week but still has an outside chance of a place.
December 10th 16.35
Carlos del Moral finished 2nd in the Euro Q school in the end - would have been a fair return had I got on what I wanted instead of the £10 e/w offered - still better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick. Down in Aus it seems as soon as Cambo found some form he lost it again but Gates remains in the lead - I sense a couple of restless nights sleep on the cards for me!
December 9th 16.12
It's been a pretty good day today - woke up to find Gates in the joint lead in Australia from a late tee time, Carlos del Moral heads into the final day of the Euro Q school in the joint lead and the Alfred Dunhill doesn't look that shabby. Ironically I had three players down for first round leader in South Africa but didn't particularly like the odds so I gave Horne,Velasco and Cabrera-Belllo a miss and they all finished tied 6th!!!!!!!!!
December 8th 12.14
One final bet for me on the golf this week in the Dunhill Championship - going for a third English Challenge Tour graduate in the shape of Lee Slattery. He finished the Challenge Tour off in fine style going 8/4/3 to get his card and has plenty of South African experience over the years including a 2nd in this event in 2007, £20 win 120 and £25 top 5 at 16/1 at Betfair.
December 8th 10.00
Many people have been complaining that Ladbrokes no longer appear on Oddschecker and what an inconvenience it is - if you check out our odds comparison service they are on there - click here
December 7th 21.44
Moving onto the Alfred Dunhill Championship from Leopard Creek - the key to the event over the last few years has been backing Spaniards, long hitters and Challenge Tour graduates. Sadly I can't bet Velasco at such a short price as he won the Challenge tour money list last season, is clearly a Spaniard and has good course form! Pablo Martin played so badly in the US PGA Q school last week he gave up and flew to South Africa to defend. The only other Spaniard on show is Cabrera-Bello but I just can't back a player at 50/1 who only won on the main tour due to one round in Austria. In the end I have concentrated on the Challenge Tour grads and number two is the massively talented Matt Haines - who is worth a stab at 100/1 £25 e/w. Another Challenge Tour graduate who really should do better on his second attempt at the main tour is Robert Dinwiddie who was actually 8th here in 2008 - £15 win 140/1 and £25 top 5 22/1.
December 7th 14.20
People probably think I am barking mad for backing Cambo but he is a hugely talented golfer who has gone through many dark moments in his career and at the moment he seems to be coming out of one. He has two good results in Australia with a 28th and a 12th and I guess the best thing to do is just to quote what he has said about his game

“I’ve been working with a new coach in Gary Edwin for the last two weeks. He’s been a great help. I hit 15 greens in each of the first two rounds and 16 today. If I’d had any luck on the greens at all, I would be right up there in contention. That’s a nice feeling. I couldn’t really have been further south than I was this season. Still, I have to admit I’m happy just to be heading in the right direction. We’ve worked hard on just simplifying everything. In fact, I’ve been doing the same off the course. We moved house recently and I threw out a lot of stuff. Basically, I’ve done the same with my golf swing; I’ve thrown out all the rubbish. Gary has given me a new lease of life. Today, I hit so many quality shots that finished pin-high, which is always a good sign. At last I’m swinging the club well.” Edwin, as is his way, downplays the obvious and immediate influence he has had on Campbell’s game. “All we’ve really done is get Michael back to swinging the way he was when he won the US Open at Pinehurst in 2005,he has so much talent, it didn’t take him long for him to get back to ‘flushing’ it."
Campbell added after he finished on Sunday “You never forget how to win in this game and with this result plus a good showing a few weeks back in the Australian Masters, I feel I can go to the Australian PGA with a view to winning the tournament. That’s how good I feel about my game now.” 

There really isn't a lot I can add to his own comments - hence the £50 ew at 150/1.
Second pick - I am staying with Robert Gates after his 12th last week - he certainly does seem to love playing in Australia and I really don't understand why I can back him at a bigger price this week compared to last.
December 7th 09.22
I am just going to quickly put up my bets so far as I haven't got time to type up reasonings - they will follow later today as will a few more selections
Australian PGA
Michael Campbell £50 e/w 150/1 Aussie books
Robert Gates £25 e/w 150/1 Aussie books
Alfred Dunhill
Matt Haines £25 e/w 100/1 + very small on Betfair 200/1
December 6th 22.17
I won't be putting up any bets today for Australia or South Africa - I want to wait and see a full set of prices - especially from Australian books - I would like to say thanks to whoever put up Daniel Gaunt at 80/1 on Betfair - quite happy to take £100 at that price - probably one of the most in form players in the field.
December 6th 12.05
Sometimes it's nice to have some golf to follow on the Moday - it breaks up the day as far as the research goes - I will have a small dabble of £10 ew on Michael Putnam in the PGA Q school at 50/1 1/5 3, he is virtually the only player up there who has a card already for next year so will have an awful lot less pressure than the others plus he has often gone low in final rounds before.
December 6th 11.26
Over the last few days I have been thinking long and hard about SPOTY and have decided to get involved - unusual for me as normally at this stage of the event there is no value left in the market - on this occasion I think differently. Over the last few years the betting market has not been a great indicator as to the final result - Giggs was 33/1 when he initially made the final ten and once people realised there was going to be a massive campaign his price went into freefall. Chris Hoy (if my memory serves me correctly) was greater than 10/1 even on the night of the show. A quick look at the contenders reveals two lifetime achievers this time around in McCoy and Taylor and there was certainly a bit of a backlash againts Giggs winning last year, add in the fact that they both come from minority sports and they are both opposable at the prices. Westwood and McDowell both finished their seasons well winning yesterday but the small golf vote is now split and I can't see a huge portion of the female vote coming for golfers. The only other serious contenders are Daley, Ennis and Williams - most of the female vote will centre on these three and remember the show doesn't clash with X Factor this year. I think the achievements of Daley and Ennis are fantastic but they were not on the world stage leaving me with Amy Williams. As far as sporting achievement goes what she did was nothing short of remarkable - our first Winter Olympics individual gold for 30 years achieved with no practice facilities in this country and virtually no money - thats what real sporting achievement is about. However this award is not necessarily about achievement it is about personality and Amy Williams has that in spades. If you look back far enough then there is quite an interesting precedent as well - if you include Torvill and Deane in 1984 then our last three Winter Olympic Gold medalists all won SPOTY. In 1976 John Curry beat F1 World Champion James Hunt, in 1980 Robin Cousins beat Olympic gold medalists Seb Coe and Daley Thompson and Torvill and D eane pipped Coe again when he won Olympic gold in 1984. I admit it was a long time ago but it was a public vote and I think people will vote this time for the eccentric nature of British sport - there is probably still a huge amount of value in the 22/1 yet.
December 5th 20.44
Sadly Pak couldn't maintain her strong start to her round today and having got to -1 which would have been good enough for a tied place she somewhat frittered things away. In the PGA Q school Johnson has steadily improved his position every day - sadly he started from a lowly position after the first two days and I will probably be ruing the triple bogey he had in round two as without that he would be just two shots out of the places - still a lot can happen tomorrow when the pressure is on but it would take a herculean effort to hit the top five - he would need a 64 to achieve that. So all in all it has been a disappointing week - but backing long shots these weeks will happen on a regular basis!
December 5th 16.03
The latest article has just been posted on the site - discussing the effects of the wintry weather on horse racing in the UK - you can read it here
December 5th 11.46
Sometimes I think I should switch to spread betting on finishing positions for my outsiders - Gates and Long both rallied in Australia to finish 12th and 17th respectively. I think there will be lots of chopping and changing in Florida in the LPGA Tour Championship - hopefully Pak will have a better day and climb into the places. The Euro Q school will probably drag on for a whole week due to the weather - as I type del Moral is tied for the lead - but only through nine holes lol! Two more weeks of golf to go before the two week break over Christmas and New Year - I am really looking forward to the Alfred Dunhill Championship next week and have some strong thoughts on who will contend.
December 4th 11.43
No joy in Australia overnight with Long and Gates falling away so it looks like the weeks profits will depend on Se Ri Pak. I have just added another golf article to the site - giving a brief preview of next weeks events - read it here
December 3rd 22.19
Hmmm - looking at the result from Lake Louise I think I may concentrate on the golf for now - in a way I am happy the mens downhill from Beaver Creek was cancelled. I only started betting on skiing around five years ago as there was a lack of golf to follow - now there is so much more I will probably be having a change of heart.
In a chilly Florida Se Ri Pak is going well - she was +5 through 7 yesterday but is now -1 and a shot out of the places as I type. Off to bed soon - will hopefully wake up to some good news from Aus re Gates and Long.
December 3rd 12.40
I was disappointed with my picks for last weeks Skiing so this week its back to the tried and tested method of following and analysing the training runs. Firstly in the mens from Beaver Creek - Hans Grugger has gone 5/3/1 in the three training runs and whilst he hasn't won for a while he can definitely win once he hits form £25 win 14/1.
The ladies event comes from Lake Louise and the first bet is on the French lady Gisin who led the training yesterday. She was 6th and 5th here last season and won back to back World Cup Downhills in Jan 2009. £20 win 25/1 and £35 podium 6/1. I will also have a bet on Elena Fanchini - I remember backing her here in 2005 at 20/1 when she was the fastest in the final training run and went on to win on raceday. This week she was 9th on run one, and 3rd on the final one, in the second run she appears last having made a huge mistake - take out that six second mistake and she would probably have led - £15 win 35/1 and £20 podium 9/1.
Sadly the European Tour was late publishing the full entry list for the Q school and only Skybet and Sportingbet are up - I had the max I was allowed on Carlos del Moral at 50/1 - a whopping £10 ew. Over in Australia Gates isn't too far back whilst big longshot Michael Long is going well tied for 7th.
December 2nd 13.06
I have had a bit of a quiet morning so thought it was time I analysed the profit figures so far from Football Betting Index and they make pretty healthy reading.
Total figures to date read
Total number of bets 139
Total number of points 869
Total profit to date 167.74
This gives an ROI of 19.3%
The average stake per bet works out at 6.25 points.
Depending on how much you stake per bet you would have achieved the following profit levels
£10 per point average stake £62.50 total profit £1677.40
£25 per point average stake £156.25 total profit £4193.50
£50 per point average stake £312.50 total profit £8387
£100 per point average stake £625 total profit £16,774
Please note this doesn't include the 132.3 points profit from the Scottish FA Cup 1st round where only a few books priced up so not a bad return overall for an £80 a month outlay and about 10-15 minutes work a week!!
To find out more visit www.footballbettingindex.com
December 1st 19.49
One final bet on the normal tour events (check back this week for Euro Q school bets) - this time we are off to India. I have had a small interest (£15 ew) on one of the Kumars - Vijay to be precise at 55/1 - if you can get on with Stan James all well and good - he is 66/1 there. He has solid form in the event on the Delhi course - he won in 2002 and was 2nd in 2006 - maybe he likes it every four years!! He has just hit a rich vein of form on the local Indian Tour going 1,3,2,3 over the last six weeks.
December 1st 10.48
As usual on the day events start I have been looking down the prices to see if I have missed something and I have - Q school - Richard Johnson. The diminutive Swede is playing in what is now his home state of Florida, he seems very relaxed about things as he will still get a lot of starts on the PGA tour next season as he was 135th on the money list and also has past winner status plus he can always play in Europe if he wants to - he did win the Scnadinavian Masters back in July. Since that win he has also been in very good form and the last time he played the Q school here in 2007 he was 19th. So why is he 150/1? Well I believe it is lazy bookmaking it is clear on the PGA site and Tour Tips it is he that is playing - jump on quick - it starts in two hours - I had £50 ew 150/1
November 30th 19.08
Back to the Australian Open - the other outsider I will have a little stab on is Michael Long. He played poorly in his last couple of starts mainly due to his putter - so he changed it and last week shot a 60! He should have fond memoroes of the course (even though it has changed) as he won the Greg Norman Invitational here back in 1999 and last year was a surprise 3rd in the Australian Open. He is a long shot but I have done him £15 in each market on Betfair 300 win 43 top 5 and 18 top 10.
A rare foray onto the LPGA tour - I made a bit of a mstake thinking it was a limited field event but soon noticed it was a full field and Se Ri Pak jumped out at the prices. Admittedly most events are won by the elite on the tour but she has won this season at Magnilia Grove where she had won twice before when in her prime. She has been 5th and 8th in her last two events on US soil and last time this course was used in 2001 - yup you guessed it she won! I was rather surprised at the price and managed to get £20 win 100/1 and £30 top 5 20/1 - take any 80/1 each way you can get - best prices here
November 30th 14.54
Tomorrow sees the start of the gruelling six round PGA Q school which sounds like a punters nightmare but over the past decade following a certain type of golfer has proved very profitable. Basically it makes sense to concentrate on players who already have some sort of tour card for next season and so are playing under less pressure. Those who are ranked from 125-150 on the PGA money list already have a guaranteed number of starts and those from the top 25 on the Nationwide tour likewise. I have looked at another group - those who have a European tour card which over the last ten years has produced these results
2000 Stephen Allan 1st
2002 Alex Cejka 2nd
2003 Matthias Gronberg 1st
2004 Brian Davis 1st Greg Owen 4th
2006 Anders Hansen 4th
2007 Brett Rumford 2nd
Cejka,Gronberg,Davis and Rumford had also all won on the European Tour that season so the player to look at has to be Pablo Martin. He is in pretty good form - finishing 16th at the HSBC and was then 2nd at his stage II of Q school and he has plenty of experiience in the US and Florida having been a top collegiate golfer. I had my max bet of £2 ew 50/1 (woohoo) and had to settle for £60 ew at 40/1.
I have also had a £10 ew dabble on two other players - Australian David Lutterus who has plenty of Q school experience and seems to thrive on it (though not when he gets on tour) at 250/1. Also a blast from the past Brazilian Alexandre Rocha - the last time we really heard of him was when he was 3rd after round one of the Honda Classic in March but he was 4th and 8th in his first two stages. Both those stages were in Florida where he now resides and I still remember the fact that he won the European Q school back in 2006 - the experience has to count for something and at 400/1 it would almost be rude not to!
Best prices are available here
November 30th 13.41
Some good news just in for Spain as Hafthorsson has finished t2nd at Arcos Gardens rewarding the e/w part of the 40/1 bet and adding to last weeks profits. I am still waiting to get all bets on for this weeks PGA Q school and the Australian Open and no-one has priced up the Indian Open yet!
November 29th 21.03
There are already lots of prices around for the Australian Open and I will put up one of my outsiders - the other will have to wiat til tomorrow as I would like to back him for top ten and there are few prices around for that. Bobby Gates is not a particularly well known American golfer but he will be appearing on the PGA tour next season having gained his card very quickly on the Nationwide Tour. In January he won the co-sanctioned New Zealand Open and then the following week was 3rd in the Moonah Classic in Australia. He secured his card by finishing 4th in Canada in July so it is quite weird he got his card playing events outside the US! He seems to like playing abroad as when he first turned pro he was 3rd in Costa Rica and 10th in Mexico and it comes as no surprise to read on his PGA tour page that unlike some Americans he loves to travel and his " Bucket list includes flying in a private jet, playing golf in Australia and visiting Italy. " He doesn't really have much to prove this week and can play in a relaxed style - I have taken £10 ew 140/1 and £15 ew 125/1 + £30 Betfair 190 average.
November 29th 09.49
Although things are not quite finalised from last week (Hafthorsson still has a chance at Arcos Gardens) research is nearly completed on this weeks golf. I will be swerving the limited field events - Chevron World Challenge, Nedbank Challenge plus the two end of season events on the LPGA and Japanese Tour. I will be concentrating on the Australian Open where I have a couple of big outsiders who might surprise, the Indian Open and the final stages of the Q schools from both sides of the pond. There will be plenty there to get my teeth stuck into - back later once prices start appearing - hopefully quite quick for the PGA Q school as it starts in just over 48 hours time.
November 28th 13.29
Today was going well - readers on here would have made quite a few quid with Townsend finishing tied 4th in Aus at 66/1 and then Aiken tying for top South African at 16/1 plus tied 3rd in the ROW market so not a bad return on the week. Sadly my day has been ruined by Robert Karlsson - there were lots of different scenarios which meant Ed Molinari would be kicked out of the top ten in the Race to Dubai and everything was going well until Karlsson got in a playoff - a win would kick Molinari down to 11th and that's what happened. It reminds me of soemthing a few years ago where Harrington piiped Casey to the order of merit title on the last day when I was on at 100/1 - at least that was each way!!
Anyway - mustn't dwell on things so straight onto todays Super G from Lake Louise. Yesterdays Downhill didn't go according to plan but I will stick with it and go with Canadian Eric Guay to prevail on home soil. Last year he headed the Super G world cup rankings winning the last two races so 16/1 to me is good value - £20 win and £25 podium 4/1
November 27th 10.27
Overnight in Australia Aaron Townsend my 66/1 pick moved up into 4th but he is quite a way behind O'Malley - then again so is everyone else and he could easily come back to the pack.
Back to the skiing from Lake Louise - I have had a further two bets - one of them quite chunky. I just don't get the price for Carlo Janka - when the books opened he was top priced 6/1 which I felt was on the big side but he has now drifted to as big as 10/1 after two training runs which were not that bad as he showed some really good speed. Lake Louise was where he shot to fame two years ago by finishing 2nd from start position 65 and last year he was 3rd. That was the spark last season which saw him win three of the other six World Cup downhill races - I cannot see how he can be bigger than 5/1 and have scambled to get £100 at 9/1 average.
The second skier is Italian Peter Fill who has been dogged by injury the last couple of seasons but the last time he was here he won in 2008 (had been 3rd previously) and was 4th in training yesterday - £10 win 20/1 £15 podium 5/1.
November 25th 20.01
Training from Lake Louise has been cancelled due to high winds so it is time to turn my mind back to golf for a minute. Stenson got off to a good start in Dubai as did Aiken and I think I was right backing him in the specialist markets with all the big names up the top. Tomorrow sees the start of the 2nd stage of Q school in Europe and one small bet for me in the shape of Icelander Hafthorsson at Arcos Gardens. He has struggled with back injuries over the last few years but is apparently on the way back. He won here at Arcos at this stage back in 2007 and can also boast a 4th and 2nd at this stage in past seasons - worth £15 ew at 40/1 with Skybet
November 25th 16.23
I have decided to have my first bet of the skiing season even thought the man I have backed had a poorish first training run in Lake Louise yesterday I expect better today and his price will probably shorten. Hans Olsson managed a couple of World Cup Downhill podiums the season before last (including 3rd here) and his best last year was a 4th. Fill and Hudec both got their maiden wins in this race having skied well at Lake Louise before and I can see Olsson going the same way. I have had £10 win 40/1 but mainly concentrated on the podium price - 14/1 and had £30 Bwin
November 24th 15.25
Back a bit later than anticipated due to being without broadband all morning - first up the New South Wales Open - I think Aaron Townsend is a bit big at 66/1 Skybet
though you might have to ring them to place a bet as they have more technical difficulties than me at the moment! His record in NSW over the past five years is really rather good - in the PGA he has gone 5/8/2/c/1/50 whilst in the Open his results read 5/1/35 - last year he was 4th with a round to go but blew up which was odd as it came the week after he won the PGA - maybe he got tired! £20 e/w for me
In the Asian event the Kings Cup from Thailand a few more books are up compared to normal - I was very interested in Namchok Tantipokakul who lost in a playoff here in the summer to Wiratchant but I am struggling ot pull the trigger at 45/1. Instead I have plumped for
Pavit Tangkamolprasert who beat Namchok by four last week in a Thia golf tournament. Pavit had his best ever Asian Tour finish when 15th here last season and worth £10 e/w at 150/1 - best prices here
November 23rd 17.58
A couple more players for me in Dubai - first up is young big hitting South African Thomas Aiken. Last year Aiken saved his best performances for the big events with top tens in the Open and the CA Championship at Doral plus a 13th place finish here. This year has been more of a consistent season making most of his cuts and he squeezed into this event as the final qualifier. His 13th place last year saw him finish as the second South African just one shot behind Oosthuizen and he was 4th in the ROW category and Ogilvy and Scott who beat him don't play this year. Therefore I have backed him £20 top South African 16/1 and £50 e/w top ROW 22/1 plus a token £10 250 on betfair just in case!!
The final bet is for round one leader and comes in the shape of Chris Wood. In his 60 tour events he has led once at this years Wales Open and been second three time including here last season so there is a touch of value in the 80/1 especially as he was 2nd just a couple of weeks ago in Singapore - £15 e/w.
That's it for Dubai - I will take a look at the other events and be back tomorrow.
November 22nd 20.07
Don't forget tomorrow sees the next round of Champions league matches - our thoughts on how to make money on them can be found here
I do have another couple of players I may want to bet in Dubai but they will probably be in specialist markets so willl wait for the full range to appear
November 22nd 14.50
It's not often that just after lunch on a Monday I have already backed my main two bets of the week but the books are out early so I have had to be quick. Bet number one is on a player I picked a few weeks ago and obliged for the e/w return for first round leader in the HSBC - Henrik Stenson. In the end he wound up being 13th and was 6th on the all round stats in a field very similar if not slightly weaker than this. It's his form in the desert I really like - he now lives in Dubai and in the last six years in eighteen starts he has two wins, six top five finishes and a further four top tens. He has been sick for a lot of the year but would appear to be heading back to full fitness which would normally see him being around 20/1 for this. I have been pretty good over the years at jumping on overpriced players who are just returning to full fitness and in many respects Stenson has the advantage this week of being far less jaded than most and I was rather stunned to see Ladbrokes open at 80/1 - I had already had £25 on Betfair at 75 thinking that was too big and was pleasantly surprised to be allowed £80 ew at the 80/1!
The second player who seems a bit overpriced is Anders Hansen - 100/1 is more than fair - I managed to get on £20 win 125/1 and £30 top 5 20/1 with Unibet He is one of those players that once he hits form tends to maintain it for a good few weeks so his 2nd in Singapore and 11th in Hong Kong read well especially as he was top 5 in both weeks for GIR and scrambling. His record in the desert isn't anything like as good as Stensons but it is pretty solid.
All the best prices here
November 21st 09.49
Woke up to some good news from Hong Kong as Marcus Fraser birdied five holes on the back nine to secure 10th place on his own to get something back on the week (besides the FBI money that is!) Next week we have the European finale in Dubai where I have a couple of fancies - keep an eye out - the field is set and there might be some early prices about. This weeks result with Poulter winning has pushed Ed Molinari down to 9th so he will need a half decent finish next week to cement a place in the top 10 to guarantee my top ten return.
We also see the return of the skiing season proper - I love the early weeks of the Downhill and Super G and have generally made a good return over the years.
November 20th 21.28
I have been out for most of the day so haven't had time to look at possible further golf bets BUT I did come home to the excellent news that Football Betting Index had another profitable day and we have now hit the 20% ROI - impressive stuff!!
November 19th 14.32
You might well have noticed that SBI is gradually changing into a useful betting portal but without all the flashy banner advertising - this includes a whole range of articles designed to help you with your betting. The latest of these is now available to read here and is a must for anyone who bets or trades on Betfair.
If there is anything you would like us to add to the site or investigate simply use the Contact form.
November 19th 09.44
In Hong Kong my tip Marcus Fraser left it 24 hours late - managing to shoot the 3rd lowest score of the day a 63 in the second round but at least he is back in the tournament and now sits t10th. A few surprises with three top players missing the cut - sadly Kjeldsen being one of them but he is joined by Schwartzel and surprisingly Jimenez - maybe the long season is catching up with him.
November 17th 11.23
The Free Bets and Special Offers page has now been updated with £100's worth of free bets available from our list of recommended bookmakers, sportsbooks and exchanges. The page also lists all those books which offer Best Odds Guaranteed as well.
November 17th 09.47
I always have one last look at events just in case I have missed something or prices have shifted (mainly on Betfair) and this week I cannot resist adding 2008 Hong Kong champion Wen-Tang Lin to the list. He has been in good form this month 9th in Taiwan as defending champion and then 3rd in Johor. He wasn't great in Singapore last week but in 08 he m/c there before winning here. Fanling does seem to be a horses for courses track and he nearly defended his title last year when th heading into the final round. At 130 and 28 on Betfair I felt I had to have £20 on each
November 16th 21.29
Well Blaine McCallister seems to have forgotten the script and lost the plot in the Champions Q school as he is in pretty much last place after the first round. I have had a look at this weeks other events and nothing really jumps out apart from one bet in the second stage of Q school at the bayonet course priced up by Skybet. . Erick Justesen has plenty of local knowledge living an going to college locally. He was medalist earlier this year at Bayonet in US Open qualifying and then won his sectional by three shots to get to Pebble Beach where he did well to make the cut, A few weeks back he won the Monterey Open so is in fine fettle so is worth a bet at 66/1 if you can get on.
November 16th 15.23
Time for my thoughts on Hong Kong - the penultimate event on this years European Tour and I have bet three golfers this week - it was going to be four but it looks like Edfors has withdrawn.
First up is Soren Kjeldsen who has been in very good form of late with a 3rd in the Vivendi Trophy and 2nd at Valderrama. There is something about Hong Kong that leads me to a Spanish connection - Spaniards have won four of the last nine renewals and Fred Jacobson won at Valderrama before winning here in Hong Kong. Kjeldsen has now gone 2nd,1st,2nd at the tough Spanish course and can also boast a pretty strong record here in HK including a 6th and 4th. I think he offers great value at around 40/1 compared to others around the same price.
Carrying on with the Spanish connection second up for me is Pablo Larrazabal - 4th on his debut here in 08 and 22nd last year. On his last visit to this neck of the woods he was 8th in the China Open back in April and apart from a poor run in the middle of the year has had a pretty solid season. He led after round one in Spain two weeks ago and that points me in a certain direction as he is out early on day one - I have backed him in a few markets - £20 ew 80/1 round one leader, £15 win and £25 top 5 125/1 and 30/1 Unibet plus £15 win on Betfair 150 average.
Last up comes Aussie Marcus Fraser who finally won again early this year in Korea. He has played here twice before finishing 7th in 2007 and was 5th at the cut in 2008 and I think he is probably a better player in Asia. He is renowned as a bit of a fast starter and is first off the 10th tee in round one so I have backed him £20 ew 100/1 round one, £5 ew 150/1, £20 top 5 28/1 and 30/1, £20 top 10 12/1 plus £20 win at 220 average on Betfair
November 16th 09.41
I will be back later today with all my thoughts and bets on Hong Kong - in the meantime you might want to take a look at the latest betting article on SBI - Making a Profit fron Champions League Football
November 15th 19.08
Just the one early bet for me in Hong Kong - more on why tomorrow - but had to get stuck in to Soren Kjeldsen - managed to get £40 ew 40/1 and then another £60 at a shade over 40 on Betfair
November 15th 09.31
I didn't bother staying up to watch the golf in the end last night - and as Liang couldn't get a top 5 I am glad I didn't - still it hasn't been too bad the last couple of weeks with Stensons' round 1 in the HSBC and Gaunt this week plus plenty of profit from FBI. I am also glad Poulter slipped up in Singapore as it keeps the hopes very much alive on my bet a year ago for Ed Molinari to finish top 10 in the Race to Dubai at 14/1 - currently 8th with only 2 events to go. Don't forget if you want a bet on the Champions Q school it starts tomorrow and I'll be back later with thoughts on Hong Kong and the Dunlop Phoenix.
November 14th 15.09
Gaunt couldn't quite get the job done in Australia - he traded pretty low as I had some lays matched at just below evens so a nice profit in the end plus Won Joon Lee got some of the top 10 money. In Singapore Liang still has a chance of a place - so something to follow before going to bed tonight! In the States Wetterich is not without a chance after Thatcher stumbled late on yesterday. Looking at next week Skybet have priced up the Champions Q school and I couldn't resist a bet on Blaine McCallister e/w at 80/1. He has won the main PGA Q school before back in 1999 and also won the Honda Classic here at Eagle Trace back in 1989 so he should have fond memories all round
November 13th 17.25
Another profitable weekend for our football tipster at Football Betting Index. I will now be posting updates on Twitter when there is anything new on the site - articles or new blog posts etc - if you want to follow the site is called SBIdotcom - Sportsbettingindex was annoyingly too long!!
November 13th 10.31
Just having a quick look back through past results at Magnolia and there is quite an interesting trend at the cut mark which should lead you to look down the leaderboard for the eventual winner - so I am more than happy with Wetterich at this stage
04 Palmer 5 back
05 Glover 7 back
06 Durant 7 back
07 Ames 1 back
08 Love 7 back
09 Ames 7 back
November 13th 09.51
Time for a quick update in the golf - Gaunt is 2nd in Australia with a round to go and as I have him win only I have just laid some back at a shade over 9/2 to guarantee a return of some sort - quite happy to lay at that price as he is 5/1 at the books. Won Joon Lee is also well placed to maybe get a return on the small top 5/10 bets. In Singapore things didn't go so well overnight with all 3 players looking strong - my only hope now is probably a place from Liang. In the US Teater had a shocker in round 1 and the only player I have backed since is Wetterich £25 100/1 after he fired a good round on the tougher course - he moved up yesterday and isn't too far back.
November 11th 11.04
It has been a good Thursday so far - Daniel Gaunt is joint leader in Australia and Won Joon Lee isn't too far back and both will have the easier of the forecast conditions for their second rounds. Singapore really looks like it could turn into a mess with more thunderstorms forecast but I have added a bit more on Luiten at 55 who is going very well on the tougher course. On other fronts Football Betting Index goes from strength to strength with a couple of good midweek wins our figures now stand at 710 points staked, 122.19 profit and an ROI of 17.2%.
November 10th 09.40
I woke up this morning to find that both Beckman and Mediate have w/d from this weeks PGA event - in all fairness they have their cards for two years and have made way for two players fighting for theirs - so its time to play my sub. I had already placed a few quid on Josh Teater and have now invested a bit more e/w 125/1 place 25/1 for small amounts and £40 at 155 average on Betfair - most books have him around 66/80. He has had a great rookie season with a 5th at Pebble in the pro-am and a 3rd at the weak Turning Stone event - he finished off last season really well on the Nationwide Tour with a win and 3rd in the season finale and a win here would be the icing on the cake.
November 9th 19.58
Onto the Australian Masters where Tiger Woods starts at an understandably low price - I have written a little article which you can read here about short priced favourites in golf tournaments. For me this weeks event has all been about stealing some early prices when the Betfair market opened last week - such as Daniel Gaunt 210/220.. The Victorians' game was going nowhere earlier this year until he won a Europro Tour event which got him into a Challenge Tour event which he also won and then in the space of four months he had his full card for the main tour sewn up so he should be in fine fettle on his return home. I also nabbed a small bit of 24/1 top 5 and 14/1 top 10 for Won Joon Lee who had a 2nd and 4th on the Nationwide Tour in the last month. One from left field is Kim Felton who has taken a lot of time out of the game over the last few years but returned to form over the last month finishing 8th in Singapore, winning in China and then coming 7th in Western Australia. Whilst he missed the cut last week it doesn't take much to get an interest at 400/1 the win and 45/1 top 5 and ties.
Best prices available here
November 9th 12.21
This week sees the last event on the main PGA tour calendar the Childrens Network Classic. I nicked a few early prices on Betfair such as Durant 100 but I wouldn't want to back him at anything less than 80/1 as he simply doesn't win or place enough. I also couldn't resist £15 on Rocco at 200/1 back in his native Florida but the one player who really interests me is "Fall Finisher" Cameron Beckman. He bounced back to form last time out with a 6th at Summerlin and he often holds his form at this time of year if his back holds out - I expected him to be around 66/1 as he has secured his card so was happy to have £30 at average 105 whilst I waited for the books so when Coral went 125/1 I jumped on board with £30 e/w . Year in year out Beckman plays the same courses well and plays well at this time of the year which is outlined below - all in the Fall
2001 6th Summerlin, then Won first PGA event at Annandale
2003 5th Lumber Classic
2004 4th here at Magnolia
2005 5th Lumber Classic
2006 back to back 4th places on Nationwide Tour
2007 3rd Summerlin 5th Tesoro 5th at the cut Magnolia
2008 Won Grayhawk then 10th Magnolia
2010 6th Summerlin
Note the 2 years he didn't do much were the 2 years after his Fall wins the year before - the only worry being that he has already won this year but I would rather back Beckman at double the price of the man he beat down the stretch at Mayakoba - Durant!
Best prices available here
November 8th 20.56
The first event for me to preview on the golf front this week is the Singapore Open. This is the second time it is co-sanctioned between the European and Asian tours but it has changed in nature this week with both courses being used at Sentosa over the first two days and the field expanded to 204. The first person that I wanted to bet was Charl Shwartzel who has course form, current form and has played well at the Joburg Open - the other big field event played over two courses - I expected him to be around 33/1 so at 25/1 I simply had to pass. Joost Luiten was next on the list whose current form is superb and I snaffled a small amount at 90 on Betfair but 50/1 in this field as a non winner on the main tour with no course form I had to pass again. So - who have I bet!? - well first is Liang Wen-Chong who has exemplary form in Sinagpore - 2nd and 4th at Sentosa (he also qualified for the Open here last season) and he won the co-sanctioned Singapore Masters in 2007. On the face of it he has been quiet since his 8th at the PGA Championship but he actually won the Thailand Open at the end of August and a couple of weeks ago was 8th defending his Midea China Classic Open title. I admit he was disappointing last week in the HSBC as he got off to a shocker - +7 through 9 but he bounced back a bit in the final round and at 80/1 he is worth a bet - £40 e/w. There is one other player who stands out at the prices to me - Fred Andersson-Hed who when he hits form tends to keep it - earlier this year when he won the Italian Open he came out in his next event and was impressively 2nd at Wentworth in the PGA . His 6th last week in China was impressive and I really don't see why he should be 90/1 this week - again £40 e/w
November 7th 20.55
Welcome to the new look Sports Betting Index! We felt after being in business for 10 years we needed a change of look and also introduce a series of new features designed to further help the punter. Over the coming month please check back as things are added an improved and if you like the design and layout check out our designers Chameleon Studio.
November 7th 13.41
One quick last post before the off in New York - prices suddenly being matched - got some more on Erkesso at 8/1 and weirdly 4/1 for a podium - weird because she is only 3/1 for the win! Also managed to grab another £15 on Fujiwara at 20/1
November 7th 12.13
Well we now have a few more books up for todays NY marathon - sadly not one of them offering e/w but I have had a few plays. In the mens race everything revolves around what Geb does and I am happy to take him on when you consider his age, the type of course and his lack of experience of it plus the strong field. New York is one of those courses that rewards experience and to me the first place to look are the past winners - hence the bet last night on two-time winner dos Santos. Today I couldn't resist adding last years winner Meb Keflezighi who has also been 2nd and 3rd here before and at 50/1 (£15) I am willing to take a risk of history repeating itself. I think Viktor Rothlin will relish the task and if he has recovered from his win at the European Championships then 20/1 (£25) is a very fair price. To pick an outsider to shock I would go for Japanese runner Fujiwara who has an awful lot to prove having broken away from the Japanese corporate system - was allowed the huge sum of £5 at 25/1! I have also been playing around on Betfair for the last few days and got some interesting prices matched for literally pennies in some cases.
In the womens race we also have a short priced favourite Mary Keitany who has swept all before her at shorter distances but I wouldn't want to take such a price about a runner who has never run a marathon before - let alone a difficult one like New York. I was matched for £6 at 9/1 on Erkesso who has won her last three marathons and an outsider for me would be French athlete Daunay who was 3rd last year - have had £20 25/1 on her.
Such a shame the books haven't grasped that this is one of the biggest events of the year on the athletics calendar which is live on Eurosport!
November 6th 20.42
I have been working on the New York marathon for the last few days and am rather frustrated at the lack of prices so just a quick post - if you can bet with Betfred you should join me with the £40 I had on Marilson Gomes dos Santos
November 4th 09.15
There is something strangely satisfying about this time of the year - waking up, switching on the computer and scrolling up from the bottom of the leaderboard to find Stenson in 3rd, the e/w round one bet landed and a profit secured for the week!
November 2nd 14.19
Two more players to follow for me in this weeks main event - first up Heath Slocum. Most winners of this event have won in recent weeks and Slocum won his penultimate event and he has proved he can win a big event when he won the Barclays last season. He would appear at first glance to have no form in this neck of the woods but go back three years and he and Weekly lost in a playoff for the World Championship at nearby Shenzhen golf course designed by the same people as Sheshan He really does seem a big price to me and have backed him £20 ew 150/1, £30 win 200/1 and top American for the princely sum of £10 ew 40/1 at Skybet.
The other one I have backed is someone who would normally be around 25/1 for an event like this but Henrik Stenson has been in poor form since his 3rd at the Open in July. There is a simple reason for his poor performances "I was ill for, like, eight weeks in total, with flu and chest infection and stuff. And I still tried to play. Got a minimum number of tournaments I had to play as well. There was some tough times." Last time he teed off was at the Frys.com where he was 5th at the cut - in the 3rd round he shot 80 but bounced back with a 68 in the final round - the 4th lowest of the day. If you forgive him that one round then 125/1 is a very big price so £20 ew for me and £10 win 170 Betfair. I have also had a small dabble on the round one leader market at 801 - two years ago he led here after an opening 65, he has also led two other WGC events and been 1st and 2nd after round one in the Asian Open held in China - £15 ew.

November 1st 20.44
Right then - I guess Quiros is a bit of a no-brainer - someone who knows how to win on certain courses and this is one of them that suits him and he has course form to prove it.
Onto Kyung-Tae Kim - in my mind he is one of the best young players in the world at the moment and is being overlooked here this week. A talented amateur who won very quickly on the Asian tour when he turned pro aged 20 and then struggled a little around the Far East. Last year on the Japanese tour he finished runner-up four times and this season he has converted those finishes into wins with three in total including two of his last three. Admittedly the Japanese tour is fairly weak but his stats really are impressive - he is 1st on the money list, scoring average,GIR, par 3 scoring, and par 4 scoring. and is also 2nd for Driving Accuracy and 3rd for par 5 scoring. He is only 24 and his finishes are incredibly consistent - in 16 starts he has those three wins a 3rd and six 4th place finishes. He is now the second highest placed Asian player in the world at 39 - only two behind Yang (happy memories of 2006 here!) and his scroing average of 69.29 this year has only been beaten by two players in Japan in the last ten years. I like to see a bit of evidence of course form and he did play here in 2007 and finished a very respectable 24th. All in all well worth a decent punt in my mind! Best price here

November 1st 17.49
Quick post about the player I was hinting at earlier (back with full reasons later) - Kyung-Tae Kim - have had £60 ew at 150/1 + £30 on Betfair at 150 average - anything from 125/1 upwards is well worth a decent bet - I make him more like a 50/1 shot
November 1st 15.57
One early observation of the prices out for the HSBC WGC event - the 80/1 for Alvaro Quiros probably won't last the day - £20 ew and £20 100 on Betfair. Got one player I really really like - might be the last big bet of the season for me - more later
October 30th 19.59
With the wind due to blow at Valderrama tomorrow we will see how difficult this already difficult course will play - have had £10 on 3 players on Betfair who are just off the pace - Havret 300/1, Singh 100/1 and Kjeldsen 200/1 - the latter won here in 08 and lost in a playoff in 07 having also been 7 shots back of Rose heading into the final round.
October 28th 20.50
Well Atwal didn't play too badly last night and Lawrie was going really well until a couple of double bogeys at the end of his round dropping him from -2 to +1. I have been looking at the AT&T on the Champions Tour - last week saw the debuts of Perry and Lowery who went off at 7/1 and 33/1 and hardly set the tour on fire. This week we have Willie Wood and Jay Delsing starting their senior careers at somewhat bigger prices and we often find the lesser lights start off well so £10 ew on each at 150/1 and 125/1 respectively.
October 27th 09.47
This week sees the final event on my favourite tour the Nationwide Tour and I really wanted to back Tomasulo who I picked at 125/1 when he won earlier this season. He has already got his card for next year but broke a bone in his foot a few weeks back and whilst he has the all clear will be playing with a protective boot - quite how he will play is now a guess but - beware the injured golfer - have had a token £15 ew at 80/1. The other price that catches my eye is at Victor Chandler - 200/1 about BJ Staten is just wrong, OK he is on the bubble at number 23 but he has had four top five finishes this season and on the one time he has played a Tour Championship was 8th in 07. If he gets off to a good start then he could play a bit more relaxed - another £15 ew for me.
October 26th 12.57
The other player that caught my eye in Spain at a big price was Jose Manuel Lara. He doesn't have an exceptional record at Valderrama although he was 9th here in 2006 and for some reason the course always reminds me a bit of Hong Kong where he won.He found his form from nowhere last month when 4th in Holland and then won in Austria then went off the boil but returned to some form last week at home. The interesting fact is that he has led here twice in his four starts and he also has a 22% top 10 strike rate at home so I have had £25 win 180 Betfair,£20 ew round one leader 100/1 and £40 top 10 10/1
October 25th 20.52
On first look at the Valderrama Masters I think Kaymer is too big at 7/1 - Extrabets 9/2 is probably more what I expected, he has won three straight and has good course form - what price would Woods be in his prime? Anyway further down Peter Lawrie seems big to me - in top form having gone 6/3 and all his best form is in Spain - his win in 08 was there and he has a 24% top 5 strike rate in the country - 60/1 e/w is simply too big - £40 ew.
October 25th 17.55
Still cannot believe Ladbrokes and Victor Chandler are going 66/1 Beth Tweddle for SPOTY with e/w 1/5 3 I might be totally wrong but she shouldn't be bigger than Daley or Ennis! time to go in again for the small amounts allowed!
October 25th 16.45
Time to get the betting boots on again - the only player I really fancy in the CIMB Asia Pacific is Arjun Atwal - more on why later but I have taken the max allowed at Totes 50/1 £50 ew
October 25th 10.00
Sodding Sunday followed rapidly on the heels of Super Saturday - 3 players in contention coming into the final round and not one place between them - Beckman finished in that worst of positions for any e/w backer - 6th whilst Chappell needed a par at the last for a small share or a birdie for a full place - he bogeyed! Fortunately my research for this weeks events was already done - otherwise enthusiasm might have been difficult to muster on this Monday morning.
October 23rd 22.24
Certainly one of those interesting days for me in the grand scale of things - Finch lies 4th in Spain, Chappell 2nd in the Nationwide whilst Beckman gets in the mix in the PGA. Over at FBI Stephen had another great weekend and we are now up to 19% ROI for the season - oh and I can only see Tweddles' price getting lower and lower for SPOTY once people get to grips with her achievements.
October 23rd 10.53
Quick alert - Beth Tweddle wins Gold at World Champs and becomes a genuine SPOTY contender see post 11 October 12.10
October 22nd 10.53
Looking at the revised PGA betting one player catches my eye who is out early today and shot -4 yesterday - Cameron Beckman. Well known as a Fall Finisher with two of his three wins coming in October/November ( his other win being in the weak Mayakoba earlier this year) and he has also managed a 3rd and 6th here before. Have had a small dabble £15 200+ on Betfair and £25 top 5 and ties 22/1 Extrabet
October 22nd 10.25
Kinda ironic - have backed Horsey the last 2 weeks - he leads in Spain, I mentioned Mackenzie and McNeil they are 1st and 6th, Haeggman was woeful - at least Finch is going well atm!!!
October 21st 09.55
I must admit I wasn't going to have any further bets outright but I looked a bit more closely at the new Jacksonville Open event on the Nationwide Tour and was drawn (again!) to Kevin Chappell - he has won at Sawgrass in his college days and with a 20% top 5 strike rate the price of 60/1 was enough to draw me in - £20 ew - best prices here
October 20th 10.10
One more bet for me this week before the off and whilst I like the chances of players like Mackenzie and McNeil in the PGA event I can't really see any value in their prices so my eyes wandered to the LPGA event. This week they have travelled to far flung Malaysia and last years US Womens Open champ Eun-Hi Ji caught my eye. Admittedly she hasn't done a great deal since her Major win but she first started playing on the Asian circuit and in 06-07 finished 3/11/1/1/3/2 in events out there including winning the Malaysian Open. Recent signs have been encouraging with a 10th in the Japan Open and she was 6th at the cut in the Navistar. With that in mind I have had £5 ew 125/1 and £15 ew 100/1 best prices here
October 19th 18.59
Having a small bet in the Egyptian Open - has to be small as its all I am allowed lol - be wary it starts tomorrow morning. Joakim Haeggman lives in Dubai so will be acclimatised, has won on another Harradine course - the Qatar Open, and won another event in the desert - the Hassan Trophy. Whilst he doesn't play so much these days he did win on this tour last season and with Rory a ridculously short 9/4 he may be a bit of e/w value £5 ew 125/1 and £6 ew 110/1 - whoopeee!
October 19th 15.45
In the US this week we have the Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospital complete mouthfull event! and lots of tipsters are plugging the chances of players with Las Vegas ties but they have all seemingly missed one out. Bill Lunde plays his hometown event this season the same as childhood friend Charley Hoffman - as a PGA tour winner. The career of Lunde has taken many twists and turns and he gave up the game for a while - even working next door to the Summerlin course.The now defunct Butch Harmon Las Vegas tour got him going again and he won on the Nationwide Tour in 2008 and kept his card in 2009 . This is the course where he has most knowledge and his best finish came last season when 27th on the back of a poor run of form. His best finish before August this year was 10th in Reno Nevada and then he won the Turning Stone event. Whilst his form understandably dipped after that win they were in big events on courses he had no knowledge of but a few weeks ago he led the Viking Classic after round one and was 5th at the cut before going on to finish 23rd. I think he has been overlooked this week and have had £30 ew 150/1, £10 win 200 and £10 ew 125/1 for round one leader.
Best prices here
October 19th 09.49
Second bet for me on Miss World - Puerto Rico has just won the fast track beach beauty contest and goes straight to the final - Gibraltar won it last year and won overall - some books have taken their markets down but when they come back they won't be 40 or 50 - managed to get £10 50/1 and £20 40/1 win only to add to the £25 on South Africa 80/1 last week
October 18th 18.09
On the European Tour this week we have the Castello Masters where Garcia is the favourite despite kicking a football more than hitting a golf ball of late. I have had an outright bet on Richard Finch who seems to like the Spanish air. His good form in Spain started back in 2000 when he won the Spanish Amateur, his first good result on the Challenge Tour was 3rd round Leon and since then on the main tour he can boast a 2nd in this seasons Andalucian Open and a prial of 7ths in other events. One of those 7ths came in his only visit to this course where he led at half way. His last two starts have been encouraging - he has never played Oceanico well but was 27th last week (5th at the cut) and the week before had his best finish ever at the Dunhill Links. He has been 6th and 7th for ball striking those last two weeks so returning to a course and country he has played well expect a bold showing. I have had £50 ew at 80/1 - best prices here

October 18th 12.52
Next week sees the 10th anniversary for SBI - quite a milestone really as the site has been around more or less since the start of online betting. I thought it would be fun to go back and pick out some of the tipping highlights although I can really only go back as far as 2004 as before that there wasn’t really much tipping on the site.
August 04 - Summer Olympics - Mens Coxless Pairs Rowing - World Champions Australia should have been odds on favourites - Sportingbet went 10/1 and we cleaned up very easily
October 04 - Miss World - Peru - bookmakers didn’t really follow pageant news in the early days and we got on the winner at 50/1. We won on Russia in 2008 as well who was gambled from 20/1 to 2/1.
February 06 - Golf - it wasn’t quite the Transatlantic double as the European tour was in Australia but in the same week I tipped up Oberholser at 50/1 for the AT&T and Stadler at 125/1 for the Johnnie Walker.
Autumn 06 - SPOTY - in a weak year I went for Zara Phillips before and again during the World Championships at 66/1 and 80/1 - she went on to scoop the award just like her mother 35 years before.
November 06 - Golf - probably one of my favourite golfers YE Yang - I tipped him for the HSBC at 125/1 and the Australian books opened at 350/1 so we topped up - I’ll never forget him holding off Woods down the stretch
August 07 - Athletics - World Championship womens’ marathon - probably the strongest bet ever given out on SBI. Ndereba had run in 17 marathons, she was 6th in the first and then was on the podium in the next 16 winning 8 of them including on the course. Opening up at 9/1 we backed her e/w all the way down to near favouritism and she won comfortably.
J une 08 - Golf - US Open - the “Battle of Wounded Knee” - even though Rocco Mediate didn’t actually win he ended up being my biggest ever financial winner - e/w at 500/1, top 10 40/1 and top US without Woods at 175/1 - many a Paddy Power account was shut after this one!
There we go - a little trip down memory lane of the highlights for me - lets hope there will be more to come over the next 10 years.

October 16th 17.46
Well what a superb day from Stephen at Football Betting Index - we knew it was coming after his excellent advice in the Scottish FA Cup and today we hit them hard on the league matches with 6/7 winning for a 62.1 point haul!
16 October 16.00
I am afraid to say its time to give up on the Select Service although the results show a profit of 64.48 points on a total stake of 230 points and an ROI of 28% it really isn't big enough as decent size bets are really impossible to get on in these small markets.
Customers are having real problems getting bets on and lots of accounts have been closed so there seems little point in continuing.
Having said that I will be putting more bets on the blog now - including these minority ones.
SBI itself will be undergoing a major change over the coming weeks as it reaches its 10th anniversiary so keep an eye out for new developments - its time to get back to basics and everything will be free to view
13 October 20.13
One last bet before the off in Portugal - having backed Horsey on Betfair last week at around 140 I cannot leave him out this week at the same price - only for £20 this week though!
12 October 12.57
I guess most people are backing Lovemark becasue he lost in a playoff last season in this event but we are playing a new course this season at CordeValle. Lovemark has played this course many times with some success whilst at college - hence I was happy to take the 125/1 £30 ew. The other player who has plenty of form round here is Kevin Chappell who like Lovemark has also won on the Nationwide Tour this season - took £10 ew at 250/1 ew and an early £15 at 500 on Betfair.
12 October 11.15
Tote
have opened 150/1 Lovemark - I cannot see that lasting too long as he is 90/1 tops anywhere else
12 October 09.47
In this weeks Frys.com Jamie Lovemark will be well backed - take anything in three figures - although it is a different course to the one he lost in a playoff last season there are still good reasons to back him
11 October 16.52
The one player who will be heavily backed in Portugal will be Alexander Noren - back to form and on a track he has a very good record on - managed to get £14 at 66/1 average on Betfair and took £50 ew at 40/1 - doubt he will go off bigger than 33/1
11 October 12.10
One last throw of the dice looking for a late season World Champion to get in amongst the Northern Irish and the golfers for SPOTY ! - its the World Gymnastics this week from Rotterdam - a couple of golds would put Beth Tweddle in with a squeak - got on at 200/30 average on Betfair - best price Ladbrokes 100/1 ew 1/5 3
Back to the golf research!
9 October 18.55
I could cry - after hours of thought/work etc Wellington pulls out of the World Ironman just before the start due to illness
8 October 16.22
I vowed last year after Giggs had won I wouldn't really get involved with SPOTY this year but having tipped Zara Phillips to win at 100/1 and getting Ennis 3rd at the same price last year I do find it difficult to leave it alone. Tomorrow is a very important day in a particular sport where GB excels - Triathlon. The World Ironman Champs takes place in Hawaii where we have our own Chrissie Wellington going for victory for the 4th straight year. I won't go into a huge amount of detail about her exploits you can read all you need to know at
http://www.chrissiewellington.org
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chrissie_Wellington
It is develpong into an interesting contest with the two hot favourites coming from Northern Ireland. Both take part in "minority" male dominated sports Horse Racing and Golf which to a degree have a limited mass appeal. If that rings true for the main two protagonists then it is certainly the case for Phil Taylor and Lewis Hamilton. I can't see Monty being nominated as coaches/managers aren't eligible and that was the role he played in the Ryder Cup. On the female front we have Jessica Ennis but her achievement in the Europeans was nowhere near as important as the Worlds last year - so why not go for a woman who actually beats men at the same discipline? This year the SPOTY show will not clash with X Factor and there will be more women voting and Chrissie really does have an illuminating personality. I admit to being on at big prices on Betfair over the past few weeks and the average price at the books is 66/1 - it could be my worst call ever but with some great publicity she could reach the final 10- then we will have to see what transpires. There is a good omen as well in that her nickname is "muppet" and I post on Betfair as "the muppet moans" - if she wins I will have to change my nickname lol!
7 October 21.46
Some good news and bad news for me today - when I woke up this morning I checked Betfair for the Dunhill Links - sadly I noticed Horsey had drifted to 150 and added another £20 - doh! - on the plus side Ferrie had also drifted to 190 and knowing he was at St Andrews I added £20 on that - a slightly smarter move as he shot -5
7 October 16.48
Quick post - for those of you with a useable Blue Square account their 500/1 Chrissie Wellington for SPOTY is well out of line.
6 October 19.56
Miss World isn't that far away and a few books have priced up - one price that appears to be wrong is South Africa 80/1 VIctor Chandler or 50/1 Boyles - only 10/1 in places which is probably more accurate - she was top 10 at Miss Universe but stands more chance in this - shame no e/w but £25 80/1 will have to do!
6 October 09.37
One other play for me in this weeks PGA - going again for Johnson Wagner - will be comfortable at Sea Island as it is where he practices and trains, coming off his best performance in ages I think the prices are big - £20 ew 150/1 + £15 250 Betfair
5 October 14.53
Well I managed to get some early value for this weeks PGA - on Betfair anyway - Sea Island resident Byrd was always going to be a popular pick and the 60 (albeit only £18) was always going to be way bigger than the books, and Wetterich again at 150 for £20 was well worth taking
5 October 09.16
Books will be slow to price up this weeks PGA event - worried that the market leaders played in the Ryder Cup and whether they will actually play. Looking again at the Dunhill a couple of early prices appeal - James Morrison went 6/1/2 when he hit form in the Spring and returned to from lto £20 ew 150/1 and one on Betfair - Ken Ferrie - good record here and whilst the bookies price doesn't appeal the 140 on Betfair is big - £25 on that
4 October 09.39
I have been doing a lot of soul searching and investigating my past betting results over the last few weeks. The Select Service concentrating on the smaller tours and first round leader markets has been making me good money but returns on the main European and PGA Tours have proven to be elusive. This weeks Dunhill Links reminded me of one of my last few outright winning bets - Simon Dyson - I managed to get on at 75 on Betfair when he was around 40/1 at the books - and I also thought of backing winner Hunter Mahan a few weeks ago when a big price on Betfair. This got me round to thinking about how I used to charge for tips and when things started to go astray - I couldn't tip early prices as people simply wouldn't get on and I have become stuck in this mode. So maybe its time to go back to old ways on the main tours as I still know when a price is inherently wrong - with this in mind I noticed Ladbrokes were up early with this weeks Dunhill Links and I managed to get £40 ew on David Horsey at 100/1 - a win and a 2nd this season and 4th lto, he has a fine links pedigree as an amateur.
Interestingly Johnson Wagner - a standout 200/1 last week came through the field yesterday but ended a shot out the places in tied 8th
2 October 11.31
It seems like a good time to take the weekend off and stop following scoreboards - plenty of research to do for next week with plenty of events to get stuck into including a new event on the PGA tour set at the stunning Sea Island resort in Georgia the home of Davis Love who will relish playing in his backyard providing he doesn't drown in Wales!!
1 October 10.58
Pretty glad I didn't spend hours and hours going over the Ryder Cup as it looks like the weather is going to be the real winner! A disappointing day for me yesterday - got excited early in the day when Pappas opened with 3 straight birdies as I had him for round one leader - he then proceeded to miss a couple of short birdie putts and then found himself rapidly down to level par. I backed Pappas on betfair and it never ceases to amaze me what prices people will take or give - having backed him at 650 to be able to lay off after 3 holes at 30 ish is sheer madness! - the early prices on Wi and Pernice I took also don't look too bad. Time to look at next week as the rain steadily falls drip drip drip
30 September 20.58
Had a good look through the Ryder Cup after the first pairings were announced and I knew I would only want to bet a European player to be top points scorer and I would go for Ross Fisher at 33/1 paired with Poulter against Woods and Stricker on Friday morning. I think they will give them a really close run with Woods so poor and Fisher is a fine match player.
29 September 13.04
The Viking Classic sees the first event in the Fall Series and no doubt we are in for some real surprises over the next month. I was lucky enough to get a few big prices on Betfair when the market was put up - mainly for small amounts Wi 50, Pernice 340 (for a healthier £25), Triplett 300 and Wetterich 160. I decided to not get too much further involved except for round one bets but one player who might spring to life is Johnson Wagner. Course form is really important here and Wagner was 2nd on his only visit - interestingly the event he won at Houston he nearly won on the course the year before so he maybe worth a dabble at 200/1 ew
28 September 13.04
I have some idea who I want to back in the points scoring markets for the Ryder Cup but to be honest I would rather wait til Thursday when the pairings are announced and to see an accurate weather forecast. Back later today with thoughts on an outright pick for the Viking Classic
27 September 08.31
Some weeks are simply best forgotten and put down to experience - last week was certainly one of those but there is absolutely no point in dwelling on the fact so its time to move on to a new week and new ideas. Having gone to bed early and had a good nights sleep I am ready to face the enemy again.

25 September 16.04
Best of luck to Ferrie for tomorrows final round in Paris - here is the message sent to Select Service clients on Monday

Event Vivendi Trophy Outright
Selection Kenneth Ferrie
Minimum Price 80/1 Current best price 100/1 Ladbrokes,Victor Chandler,Tote,Betfred
Strength 2 pts ew
Occasionally you have to take a bull by the horns and this weeks bull is 17 stone Ferrie.
I will do a quick summary of reasons to back him
1. Course form - he won on the Challenge Tour round Joyenval back in 01 and 3 rounds will be played on that course this week (provided he makes the cut!)
2. Location form - apart from the above 2 of his best finishes have come at Le Golf National (2nd and 6th) also just outside Paris and his second best finish of the season was there as well (would have been a top 5 without a 9 at the last!)
3. Pro-am form - 2nd and 9th in the Dunhill Links on a multi course format
4. Incentive - his 5 year exemption for winning the European Open comes to an end this season and he needs to regain his card by  right - currently 110th so needs a good week
5. Current form - not that great but not that bad - seems to be playing one good/one bad - did shoot 64 in opening round of KLM to lie 2nd - best performance 3 months ago in Germany when 3rd and should have been top 5 in France - shows he can turn it on from nowhere.
25 September 10.06
I have been busy looking at the Ryder Cup - not usually an event I like to back in but with the multitide of markets available there is probably some value somewhere - though I am yet to find it!
Select Service clients will be busy cheering on Ken Ferrie in the Vivendi - he was the 2 pt ew bet I alluded to earlier this week and at 100/1 would be a nice payday
21 September 21.21
East Lake was revamped in 2008 with new greens and they certainly seemed to suit Villegas as he went on to win - that followed on from his 9th on his debut the year before, but that wan't his first visit to East Lake. In 2001 he played in the US Amateur at the venue and was 4th in the strokeplay rounds with a pair of 68's. He has been putting poorly but a return to his favoured Bermuda greens combined with an improvement in his ball striking in his last start should reap dividends this week.
21 September 10.34
Drew a blank last week and have been busy beavering away at this weeks events - Select clients already have a 2pt ew bet in the Vivendi Trophy - will be back later with some further thoughts on the limited field Tour Championships
18 September 14.16
Its nice to see some revised prices for the Boise Open heading into the weekends rounds and one player that catches my eye is the enigmatic Aussie Ewan Porter. Basically he either misses the cut badly or competes for a title, he has already won this season and was 3rd here last year and if his putter is on song (which it is this week) he can compete. He is currently on -8 and is 125/1 Stan James or 100/1 Sportingbet
18 September 09.16
For a change the Austrians have failed to perform in front of their home crowd and I am left kicking myself at this stage for not backing Parry who had played well on Pern designs before. One small bet for the weekend though - Gary Lockerbie 100/1 ew and win only on Betfair at 200+ - this is his time of year when he normally either does something to gain his card or keep it!
17 September 10.20
A quick post re next weeks Tour Championship from East Lake - as all books have priced up early the one price I don't think will last is the 33/1 Tote for Villegas - I had down more as a 20/25 shot - more a bit later
15 September 14.11
A quick update on the Select Service front - Total staked 184 points profit 110.48 ROI 60% and as its a quiet week if anyone wants a free trial for this weeks bets simply send me an email saying Free Trial in the subject to info@sportsbettingindex.com
May +23.75 staked 35
June -17.5 staked 57
July +120.73 staked 33
August -23.5 staked 45
September +7 staked 14
13 September 17.04
Rather stunned to see Ladbrokes go 50/1 Markus Brier - I would make him 33/1 max in this field at home - the price won't last
13 September 15.09
I had to look out the window to check it wasn't Winter already when I saw the golf line-up for the week - no PGA,Champions or LPGA and the Austrian Open is a shocking event on a new course. I can say without doubt that the players who will be backed this week will be the two market leaders and Brier on home soil (took the 60-65 on Betfair). Therefore there is every chance things will be quiet on the Blog this week as I will concentrate on the Select Service bets on the minor tours - though tbh this week that should include the European Tour lol!
13 September 00.24
No joy with the big outsiders as Kaymer romped to victory in Holland. I have been sat here all night watching slow updates from Utah as select clients had a 1 pt ew bet on 80/1 shot Vegas - sadly he has just come up short and tied for 2nd - but still a nice return
11 September 12.39
I have been following the early play from Holland today and have a feeling that the leaders are going to come back to the pack with the course playing tricky for those out in the afternoon so have had some smallish bets on those in the clubhouse or close - Oosthuizen 210, Coles 230, Huldahl 500,Cevaer 600,Levet 700 - be interesting to see how things pan out
10 September 21.33
One of those weeks where it will all come down to the outright bets and there is still a fair amount of interest. Villegas is ticking along not far behind whist as I type Vegas is top 10 in the Nationwide and I guess Chris Gane has an outside chance in Kazakhstan. Ineed a very good weekend from Bourdy in Holland but you never know - he is playing well just not making many birdies.
8 September 23.18
With the kids back to school this week have spent time catching up on various bits of work so haven't done a huge amount on the BMW Championship this week - tbh I quite fancy the chances of Woods and Kuchar bot the prices don't inspire. There is one player who has a strong association with the event - Villegas and I wouldn't be at all surprised to see him at the top of the leaderboard and the 90 on Betfair is more than fair.
6 September 21.20
In the US they are still playing and this weeks PGA field will not be set til later tonight so I have spent most of the day going through the KLM for Select Service bets but also for anything to put on here. One player I think will be well backed this week is Gregory Bourdy who hasn't missed a cut since January. His 3 Euro tour wins have all come on quirky,tight courses and this weeks should suit him down to the ground. He will be buoyed by his performance at Whistling Straits where he was 15th at the cut and lto he was 3rd with a round to go at Gleneagles. His stats for that last performance read well as he was 1st for DA,6th for scrambling and 8th PPR. I do think the 66/1 represents very good value for money when you look at all the non winners priced about the same.
5 September 09.30
Kids up early today so grabbed a few minutes to update all the stats for the select service since I started it in May - total points staked 170, profit 103.48 ROI a very nice 60%. This can be broken down by month as follows
May +23.75 staked 35
June -17.5 staked 57
July +120.73 staked 33
August -23.5 staked 45
Highlights over the last months - Tomasulo WON 90/1, Ahn t1st 60/1 plus places at 200/1,150/1,125/1,150/1,150/1
All results here
4 September 21.54
Well that was probably a couple of hours wasted! At least Cink is still in contention and on the FBI front we went 2 from 2 today on a quiet front and also baged a 50/1 winner on the correct score mentions
4 September 15.05
I have spent the last few hours going over the Champions Tour where the field is split over 2 days between the easy Del Monte course and the difficult Pebble Beach. Tom Lehman looks interesting at the price he has been pushed out to 40/1 ew. He shot a 1 under at Pebble yesterday and tees off first on the easier course today. Last year he shot an identical 1st round score and then a 2nd round 65 and eventually wound up 3rd
2 September 19.28
Not a great day for my two picks on here in the Omega but the Select Service clients had a really good day with round one leader bets Ilonen finishing t2nd at 125/1 and Coles t4th at 200/1
1 September 20.56
It looks like the Deutsche Banke might get affected by Hurricane Earl - hopefully it will just be a tad breezy! I have therefore kept my interest pretty low key. I do think that Cink is a bit big on Betfair at 100/1 but the one player that catches my eye is Heath Slocum. He found some form last week when 9th at the Barclays and although in theory he doesn't have the length to compete at Boston but he has steadily improved every year until last when he m/c but I will let him off as he had won the week before. Quite happy to take the 150/1 win on Betfair and 22/1 the place.
31 August 15.54
One other suggestion for the Omega European Masters is Argentinian Tano Goya - admittedly he is difficult to catch right but he seems to like the same type of courses - most of which are quirky and/or at altitude. He did well on his debut here last year and at 14/1 top 10 and anything over 200/1 on Betfair is worth a bet.
31 August 13.44
Well I had better put up one of my selections for Crans as Bettingzone have gone for him as well - Felipe Aguilar. Whilst I agree with their reasons for picking him - 1st for GIR last week - he was also 2nd for DA and 9th for scrambling - they seem to have missed a couple of other solid reasons for backing him. He actually lives at altitude in Chile so will be used to the ball flight and his course form is a little better when you add in his win on this course on the Alps tour back in 2003 when he was an emerging young talent. I did wonder why I wasn't getting matched on Betfair at bigger odds but am happy to take the 200/1 ew
31 August 10.46
This weeks Omega European Masters looks interesting as I can see Jimenez,Molinari and Dyson falling a bit flat after their Ryder Cup campaigns - back later with a couple of outsiders.
29 August 22.24
Close but only a small cigar as Streelman can't quite score low enough for the win - not bad for a 250/1 pick but will have to make do with the top 5 and top 10. Back in Europe - great stuff from Ed Molinari today and brings back into my play on him for top 10 Race to Dubai at 14/1 - maybe even the win at 80/1 lol
28 August 23.08
I think for the first time ever I feel slightly sorry for Monty - he will be damned no matter what he does - especially if they lose!
Personally I cannot see how he can pick Pod - in bloody awful form with an awful RC record - why the hell should he be a pick? - and if he leaves out Ed Molinari it will discourage every young player out there
27 August 21.52
A tad miffed after the last two days - had Warren for round one leader - stood on the 17th green with a 2 foot putt for par which he missed then missed a birdie from 6 feet at the last! Then today - have seen Streelman shoot -8 - why couldn't he do that yesterday!! - thankfully he was the player I tipped on here this week so thankfully he came back from the dead lol!
26 August 11.05
I thought it was about time I did a bit of shameless plugging for Mrs SBI who designs my websites but also runs a rather good site www.specialdaypictures.co.uk . If you are ever stuck for a present for a childs birth, a christening, a wedding or even a graduation this unique personalised gift is ideal for such an occasion (end of commercial!)
25 August 21.13
I really want to back Anthony Wall this week as I know he is probably in for a good week but with his inability to win the odds of 66/1 are pretty shocking - I got a bit on at 100 on Betfair and maybe think I should try spread betting with players like Wall!!
24 August 17.00
The player I alluded to last night was Kevin Streelman in the Barclays. To be honest he hasn't shown a great deal since his 3rd in Puerto Rico and 7th at Bay Hill earlier this year but last week he hinted he was back to some semblance of form. He loved playing here two years ago when he had a really good chance to win before going on to finish 4th. It was a bit of a homecoming for him as his family is from the area and he had a lot of support - oh and the morbid bit - his grandparents reside next door to the course - in the cemetery!!!!! I have bet him 250/33/16 Betfair/Extrabet
23 August 22.29
A busy day today going through lots of events - plenty lined up for the Select Service this week and I might have an interesting angle for the first Fedex playoff event the Barclays and it's a bit morbid!!
22 August 20.26
I was looking forward to a Sunday evening following the golf with Weibring in contention in the Seniors and a few quid on McCarron - the joy didn't last long - time to start the research for next week!
21 August 09.33
Woke up this morning to see DA Weibring maintains his lead in the Jeld Wen so fingers crossed there. Had a quick look at the Czech Open and maybe unheralded American Nathan Smith might go better than the layers expect - he turned up in Europe last season and managed a 4th in the Scandinavian Masters - just had a small bet around 200 on Betfair. Off to have a closer look at the Wyndham now.
20 August 16.42
Just spent the afternoon re-jigging the Select Service results pagses so you can now see a monthly breakdown of results rather than a constant list of all results together - can be found here
20 August 09.49
Had a refreshing break away from the computer for a few days although I would say don't holiday in England in August! Back to some goon news as well as the Select Service clients have DA Weibring leading in the Jeld-Wen - lets hope he continues over the next three days how he started.
17 August 11.22
Took a day off from things yesterday after the debacle of the US PGA for me - annoyed with giving back a large chunk of Mahan winnings from the week before. Part of me is thankful that Micheel has withdrawn from this weeks Wyndham as I might well have backed him!
One that catches the eye in the Czech Open is Richie Ramsay at 80/1 - he is prone to a bad round but will be keen to get back on course after a final round 64 in Ireland. He is learning the courses on tour well and did well for 3 rounds last season here and has already won this season.
15 August 14.45
One last throw of the dice - it might last a few minutes but Cink has played well the last 2 days and has won from 9 behind before and of course last year got in the clubhouse at the Open to post a score that won him the title. At 850 on Betfair he could be tradeable - if not its back to basics and stick to the Select Service bets for next week!!!
15 August 10.19
Well thats the dream well and truly over - on the plus side Football Betting Index has had a good start to the season securing a nice profit for the month of August
14 August 11.19
Well the dream of paying the mortgage off isn't quite over yet - although Micheel is 6 back I don't think he is totally out of it in tied 18th. When he returned to the course yesterday he played his final 7 holes poorly but then came out and shot a 3 under 2nd round with 15 pars and 3 birdies - if he can play like that over the weekend he will be back in it. I was very disappointed with Clarke who was -3 through 13 as I had him for 1st round leader - he played very poorly when he resumed.
11 August 09.48
I always like to have a quick last look at an event the day before to see if I have missed anything and something Dave Tindall says - 11 of last 12 winners had already won that season. Already on Scott but on a quick look down the list of winners this season it didn't take me long before coming to Ben Crane winner at the difficult Torrey Pines course. He was 9th here in 2004 when he led the putting stats for the week and maybe he has a penchant for Pete Dye courses - after all he has been top 6 at Sawgrass for the last 3 years. I have had £50 ew 125/1 - 140/1 with 6 places.
10 August 12.14
For those of you new to this site just a quick mention of the Select Service I run which since its inception has produced the following results
Points staked = 133
Points returned = 251.98
Profit = 118.98

I think you will agree that's a very healthy profit margin for just £75 a month - all bets are independently proofed and full results are available here
9 August 16.53
Time for the main bet of the week - well probably the year to be honest -
I have been waiting for this event for a number of months and waiting to back one player since I first looked at it so anticipation on my part has been very high!!
The man in question is Shaun Micheel who this year has finally recovered from the shoulder injuries that have plagued his career.
So far this season he has racked up 3 top 5 finishes - impressive for him becasue if you take out his 1st and 2nd in this Major he has only had 6 other top 5 finishes on the PGA tour in 10 years.Interestingly 2 of those top 5 finishes were at Deere Run and 2 at Annandale - these sorts of figures lead me to the conclusion he is a bit of an event/course specialist.
Before going for a Major plunge I also like to find evidence of an ability to play the course - especially one like Whistling Straits with its 1200 bunkers and when it was used in 2004 Micheel was 24th - maybe not that great but on closer analysis he shot the lowest score of anyone for the final 54 holes - his first round 77 scuppered his chances but he did have the added pressure of being defending champion.
Going back to this years form I was a little worried about last weeks missed cut but he has missed 4 cuts this season and the following week has come out and finished 5th,26th,4th,4th - and going back to his 1st and 2nd in this Major - on each occasion he had missed the 54 hole cut at the International the week before.
There is one other thing Micheel has going for him and it has he says proved his inspiration this season - instead of playing for himself he is playing for his mother who is dying of cancer - maybe he is heaping too much on himself but reading between the lines I get the feeling he has the game and the mindset to go out and win this week.
£450 win Betfair/Betdaq 280 average
£175 e/w 200/1 - as much as possible 6 places
9 August 14.59
My main bet for the week will follow later but I couldn't resist a couple more prices on two players just getting some form together and who both were top 10 here back in 2004 - Stephen Ames £50 370 on Betfar and Adam Scott £40 ew 80/1 (6 places)
9 August 10.00
A quick first post for the PGA Championship - Tote have pushed out a load of players this morning - the one that catches the eye is Darren Clarke at 250/1 - £20 ew for me
8 August 23.43
Well done Hunter Mahan - a nice winner and some nice ammunition for the final Major of the year next week!
8 August 13.50
A great day yesterday for FBI getting 4 out of 6 right for a 26.8 point profit and in the evening Mahan got into contention in Firestone - should make for interesting viewing this evening. With the poor form of Woods and the w/d of Westwood next weeks US PGA Championship is beginning to look very interesting
7 August 11.33
Just a quick post for Turning Stone on what could be a good trade - Dean Wilson has a really good 3rd round scoring average (when he gets that far!) - 8th on tour in the last year - he was 2nd in Canada a few starts ago as well. I have had some 80-90 on Betfair in the belief he can make a move today
6 August 12.10
It's been a pretty quiet week so far - busy researching for the PGA Championship at Whisltling Straits - the final Major of the year next week. On other news the Scottish football season proper kicks off tomorrow and the tips are primed and ready to go out at FBI. On a slightly different tangent Mr T is no more at his new home - ho hum!!
2 August 14.45
I must admit on the main tour outright markets the only place these days to nick a bit of early value is on Betfair - quite happy about the 65 I got on Hunter Mahan for the WGC at Firestone - can't see the books getting close to that!
2 August 12.14
Well Seo managed to get a tie of a place which resulted in money back - nothing ventured - nothing gained! Sadly the Select Service drew a blank but FBI had a much better weekend with a healthy 13.5 point profit - the season proper starts next weekend and things are looking promising.
31 July 10.02
Yesterdays post quickly destroyed Wiegeles' chances! so today I will give the kiss of death to a player in the Womens British Open - currently in tied 8th on -2 is Hee Kyung Seo - a prolific winner in her native Korea and a winner in the US earlier this season - she is the next big Korean superstar - Skybet are still paying 4 places and is worth an investment in the outright at 66/1 and without Tseng at 33/1
30 July 14.34
Over in Ireland there is quite an interesting contender who will probably be consistently overpriced over the next few days - I managed to get him around 500 average but it seems people have forgotten Wiegeel won back to back just a few weeks ago. Fair enough they were not strong events but to win in consecutive weeks is not easy - also when he played Killarney ont he Challenge Tour he was 2nd heading into Sunday and eventually finished 4th
27 July 13.34
A quick post re two golfers for this weeks main events - in Ireland Marc Warren might be worth a small punt at around 300/1 - he won on this course on the Challenge Tour and to be honest it is impossible to know when he is going to have a good week - I don't think even he knows!! The PGA tour goes to another new venue and Steve Wheatcroft seems to be finding his game again and could reward interest - 200 win 40 top 5 and 20 top 10
25 July 10.30
Not a lot to report from FBI - not a great start but a season is long. For subscribers to Select Service things are looking interesting again with Chris Nallen sitting t4th with a round to go in the Nationwide event.
I have taken a few small dabbles on Betfair for the Senior Open - a lead round Carnoustie is never big enough with the weather able to change so I have bet a few players who are currently 3rd on -2 Woosnam 36,Mize 40,Blake 55,Cochran 70 and some bigger Sluman 145,Allen 330,Dodds 435
24 July 10.19
Ironically the player who I had all the fuss about in the Nationwide is currently t6th - perhaps I should have taken the 500/1 win only!
Had a quick look at Canada this morning and there might be a bit of e/w value as the field is pretty bunched - last weeks winner Bettencourt is on -5 and when he hit form on the NW tour a couple of years ago he held it well and at 125/1 1/5 4 is worth a go. One shot better than that is Tambellini who won last time he teed it up in Canada - this week he is 1st for DA nad 2nd GIR - 150/1 same place terms
An exciting day on another front as FBI kicks off in the Scottish Challenge Cup this afternoon.
22 July 21.15
Yesterday was a day full of angst and annoyance - one day bookmakers will realise that pissing clients off especially those that promote their business will eventually leave them with no business - there is a finite number of clients in this world and hopefully one day we will see more bookmakers who are prepared to act as bookmakers where not all clients lose but you get enough losers to cover the winners.
Anyway - I took the day off with the school holidays upon us and had a good day out - came home and found that the Select Service had a nice payout with Ahn tying for the round one lead at 66/1 - returns for this service are now very impressive and there are still places available - just send me an email. Full results here
21 July 15.43
Not often I have to bin a bookmaker from my recommended list - the last one I did was Centrebet but today I have to with Stan James. I don't see why I should recommend a book that resorts to the following tactic. Earlier today I tried to place a bet on the phone on a Select Service bet - £10 ew at 500/1 - they offered me win only which I declined and instantly cut the price to 200/1 without laying a bet - disgraceful behaviour if you ask me. Then out of the blue I get an email saying I can no longer use their telephone betting service but I am welcome to use their online service - well thanks for nothing!!
20 July 20.31
I tell a lie there is one player I would like to bet in Canada who I originally wanted to bet in this weeks Nationowide event but he has got into the main tour event instead - Mark Hensby seems to be finiding his form and this is the time of year when he used to flourish - gone for the 45/1 top 6 and 280/1 the win on Betfair
19 July 20.24
I really don't see a lot of point getting heavily involved in either Scandinavia or Canada this week - we are a week on from a Major playing two courses with no form whatsoever so we will only be guessing. I will be concentrating on the small events for Select Service clients this week though if you really wanted a bet in Canada Mark Wilson seems to be finidng a bit of form after a poor first half of the season and 125/1 is maybe a bit on the generous side
18 July 17.39
Rock came close to getting me out of trouble but not close enough - Oosthuizen really has been impressive this week even with the weather advantage he got. Its been an awful week - thank God for Dredge on day one (yet again!) - I could tip Quinney for Reno tonight as he has the second best final round scoring average on tour and has been 2nd here before - however that would just be the kiss of death for someone who can't win anyway!!!!
18 July 09.00
Time to move on already to next week!! which actually looks pretty difficult with new courses being used on the European,PGA and Challenge tours!
I just don't understand where Oosthuizen has come from - poor form since his win and shocking form in the Open and at the Dunhill links. My one final chance lies in Hanson or Rock sneaking into a place and I guess Rock has been unlucky - played great for two days but had to contend with the loop in the worst of the weather on Friday
17 July 12.00
The player that catches my eye in Reno is local lad Rich Barcelo who recorded his best ever PGA tour finish here in 07 when 4th. Sitting on -4 in jt 12th at the cut I will take a small risk at the 125/1 ew 1/5 4 and got 250 on Betfair

17 July 09.38
What a difference a day makes and if it wasn't for Louis I wouldn't be feeling too bad - still I managed to back a few at silly prices yesterday - notably Lehman 320,Clarke 330,Taniguchi 1000 and if I was to sell all my greens on Betfair now I would break about even. All I can do is hope Peter Hanson can keep it going as I have £30 ew at 150/1 and am £15k green on Betfair.
I will have a closer look at Reno this morning now the cut has come - one guy I was interested in at the start has played quite well - more later.

16 July 12.42
I have just put the finishing touches to Football Betting Index and now the site is officially live - to visit simply go to www.footballbettingindex.com
The original proofing trial with the Secret Betting Club ran from 9/2/10 to the end of the season - 27/4/10. This produced 204 bets staking 896 points giving 93.53 points profit with an ROI of 10.4% and Stephen is confident over the course of the season of producing an ROI of at least 15%
15 July 22.42
One of the last players to get to -6 and diminish the return slightly on Dredge was Peter Hanson but I am not going to complain too much as he was one of my six main bets - with Vijay Singh and Trevor Immelman also sat on -4 I can't really complain too much and tomorrow will be a very different day indeed.
The place payout on Dredge has taken us to over 100 points profit on the Select Service - the figures now read 106 points staked with a return of 212.3 a very healthy ROI of 100% - all results from day one are here
15 July 18.02
Well I guess today hasn't gone too badly - the big priced outsiders have't fared well but Dredge was a round one play for select service clients - will have to wait til quite a bit later to see how many tie him on -6. Did add a couple of small plays during the round - most notably on my old favourite Yang at around the 220 mark.
15 July 10.17
Well the Roberts dream was very short lived!!! Strangely the leading player of the ones I have backed is Robert Rock who I said on Monday was probably a bad bet in hindsight - this game can make a right fool of you sometimes.
15 July 08.33
I had a weird dream this morning that I woke up and turned on the computer and Loren Roberts was leading the Open at -2 - got up and switched on the computer and sure enough he was!! Now -3 through 7 - hope he can keep it going - select service clients are on for the round one lead at 300/1 - would be a lovely start to the week.

13 July 15.59
I haven't exactly done an Open preview for St Andrews but here are my free tips concentrating on six players who I think are value at the prices available.

Ben Curtis
Past winner Curtis seems to reserve his best form for the summer and is just coming into his best at the moment and a better final round at River Highlands would have seen him much shorter in the betting - but one poor final round doesn’t put me off (it certainly worked when following Tomasulo last week). It’s not like he he is a one hit wonder at the Open as he has also finished 8th at Carnoustie and 7th at Birkdale - 125/1 e/w and bigger on the exchanges

Peter Hanson
He has been in good form all season including a win, has a good record playing St Andrews in the Dunhill Links and is a former winner of the Brabazon as an amateur at Formby Links - worth a small punt e/w at 150/1 and I got 290 on Betfair for the win

Trevor Immelman
The South African has been plagued by injuries over the past few years and his best performance this year before last week was 14th at the Masters but his 11th at Loch Lomond could be a hint that he is back. His best ever Open finish was here at St Andrews when 15th in 05 and he has a good Dunhill Links record so is worth a small play at 200/1 e/w.

Yuta Ikeda
I always think bookmakers underestimate certain types of players for Majors - especially Japanese ones and I have had to get stuck into Yuta Ikeda. Last years leading money winner on the Japanese tour with an impressive four wins and he is only 24!! Due to those wins he has been able to play around the world this year but has struggled a bit flitting around but eventually found his putting stroke the other week when winning in Japan. He has made the cut at the Masters and the US Open and was 22nd at the WGC Doral event and I think he has a great future ahead of him. He may follow in the footsteps of another Junior World Golf champion - an event he won in 2003 at Torrey Pines. I have got stuck in to the win on Betfair to take out £100k and also availed myself of the generous Ladbrokes top ten price of 50/1

Loren Roberts
Everyone is talking about the golden oldies following the exploits of Watson and Norman over the last few years and the Open is an event where the oldies can shine as it takes skill and guile to plot your way round St Andrews so the big question is who will it be this year? Nick Faldo might well show up at some point though he is playing down his chances but I really fancy Loren Roberts might surprise. He actually has a good links pedigree as it suits his short accurate game as shown by his 7th here in 2005 when he was already 50 years old. In Senior Opens on links he has been 5th at Royal Aberdeen, 1st at Turnberry and 4th at Muirfield. He is also in good nick on the Champions tour finishing 3rd,1st and 5th in his last three outings. I have backed him 1000/1 ew (6 places), 80/1 top 10 and 33/1 top 20

Vijay Singh
The Fijian has a great record round St Andrews and in the Open and there have been glimpses of his best form over the past month but he really doesn’t look comfortable with the putter - still everything is in the price and at 180 on the exchanges I am prepared to take a risk the flat stick finally works.

12 July 22.17
Just a quick reminder - all the main bets for the big PGA/European events are always provided here on the blog but for the specialsit bets on the small tours you need to be a member of the Select Service - details and results here
12 July 13.56
I thought it would be a good idea just to recap on my bets so far for the Open at St Andrews that have been already posted on the blog
Ben Curtis £20 ew 125/1 + £80 160/1 average + £10 100/1 without Woods
Vijay Singh £35 180/1 average
Peter Hanson £20 ew 150/1 + £50 300/1 average
Soren Hansen £20 445/1 average
Robert Rock £10 ew 300/1 + £40 390/1 average (a bad bet!!!!)
11 July 21.05
I gave Sophie G the kiss of death but Select Service bet Tomasulo shot an amazing final round 61 to win by a shot !!!
11 July 16.36
Well it looks like the long four day wait for a return only to get none can well and truly be applied to this week - whilst I got a return on Storm for round one leader I also had a small bet on him for a top 5 - and he has made a complete horlicks of the back nine to scupper any chance of that. I do hope Ed Molinari wins as I backed him ages ago for the Race to Dubain win and top 10 at 80/1 and 14/1.
I have had a small dabble on Sophie Gustafson for the US womens Open 80/1 1/4 3 - on this tough course anything could happen tonight.
Select Service clients have a chance of another payday tonight with Tomasulo going well in Canada on the Nationwide Tour and I can't wait for the Open to start on Thursday - I will have a preview ready in a few days time.
9 July 10.01
Yesterday was one of those days that dragged and dragged - on the Select Service bets we were on Storm for round one in the Scottish Open - pipped on the end by Clarke - doubly frustrating when I keep badgering on about the Northern Irish link!!!! Then in the John Deere we had Chopra - denied a place by one shot - stiil sometimes it is best to confine the agony to one day rather than four!
If you want to see the results so far they are here
8 July 11.01
I have been looking at the US Womens Open for most of the week - believe me it's going to be really tough and someone has put a few interesting prices up on Betfair - couldn't resist a few quid on Major winner Anna Nordquist at 65 and huge young talent Jennifer Song at 150/160

6 July 22.07
Spending most of my time this week looking forward to the Open and doing the Select Service bets but there is one player from left field that catches my eye at Loch Lomond - Michael Hoey. He is a player who has never really fulfilled his potential although he finally won last season on the main tour. There is defintely something in the inspiration between players from the same country - Clarke won todays JP McManus pro-am following on from McDowells' amazing week at Pebble Beach and Hoey grew up playing alongside the US Open champion. I vaguely remember Hoeys' final round 64 here when still an amateur back in 2001 where he had a chance to break the course record. Back in 2008 the three won very close together and Hoey returned to form in France last week - anyway - got some 470 average win,75 top 5 on Betfair and 50/1 top 5 and ties and 25/1 top 10 and ties.

5 July 14.20
I have added one more player to my Open portfolio as I can't see him getting any longer and he doesn't actually play in Loch Lomond this week but is the only player under par in the morning wave of the JP McManus pro-am - Peter Hanson. He has been in good form all season including a win,has a good record playing St Andrews in the Dunhill Links and is a former winner of the Brabazon as an amateur at Formby Links - worth a small punt e/w at 150/1 and got 290 on Betfair for the win
4 July 20.45
Well I have to go back on my word again re SPOTY and have a crack at Justin Rose for the award - I know he is not that popular though he can't be much worse than Andy Murray!! If he wins tonight he will probably go off 25/1 for the Open and if he wins that he will be around 2/1 for SPOTY so I think so taking 80/1 and 100/1 is probably a good thing

4 July 14.44
I have tried not to chase losses over the past few days - there is no point in losing good money after bad especially when players seem to know I have tipped them and decide to play like absolute drains from that point onwards.
Still I have been very busy working on the new Football Betting Index tipping website - the tipster is champing at the bit to start and put into use his 20 years experience of betting on Scottish football - first bets will be out on the 23rd July and the website will be up and running in plenty of time for people to subscribe - obviously I will let you know when it is ready but if you do want a reminder simply send me an email with FBI reminder in the title

2 July 10.40
Maybe the link with the Donald Ross designed course Sedgefield was right when looking at the AT&T - sadly it hasn't helped Stadler but Pettersson had been 1st and 5th there,Moore 1st,Mayfair 2nd and Overton 2nd and all of them had good rounds yesterday even Ogilvie won there years ago when it was used on the Nationwide Tour. There is one other player who was 2nd at Sedgefield in 08 and came back to form last time out Scott McCarron - worth a nibble at 120/14 win and place
2 July 10.40
I woke up this morning to see Shane Lowry racing through the field at five under for the day but was swiftly brought back down to earth with a thud with back to back double bogeys!
Moving on to the Open - what price should a player be who is riding high on the leaderboard this week and has gone 5/4/4 in his last three European tour events? Well I don't think he should be 300/1! Robert Rock even has some good links form with his 2nd in the Irish Open at County Louth last year played in typical links conditions - I can't see that price lasting
29 June 22.17
Was going to give the AT&T a miss being a new course this week at Aronimink but like Dave Tindall have gone for the course designer angle. Donald Ross also designed Sedgefield where Kevin Stadler has an excellent record - lost in a play off last year and 7th in 2007 and he also won on the Nationwide Tour at Irondequoit one of the other few Ross courses to be used on tour. He has had three top 10's this season and whilst he hasn't been in the best of form lately he has the ability to pull out a good performance form nowhere - 200/1 e/w and 20/1 top 10 are worth a poke where no-one has any course advantage.
29 June 13.55
I have always thought Le Golf National has a "linksy" feel to it and it does seem to be a bit of a specialists track and I have gone with one player who loves links golf. Shane Lowry famously won the Irish Open as an amateur last year and promptly turned professional - he struggled a bit to start with but this was the scene of his first paycheck. He proved with his 4th in Abu Dhabi earlier this season that that win was no fluke and has made his last eight cuts - last week he was looking at the weekend off until he birdied four of his last six holes and ended up playing as good as anyone over the last three rounds. I have backed him e/w at 125/1 & 150/1 and to trade on Betfair at 200/1
28 June 15.41
The less said about last week the better - especially knowing Verplank could go low over the weekend at River Highlands yet still failing to get involved was a poor decision and part of me was rather grateful that Watson finally broke his duck.
I am still looking at the Open and will add plays as and when I think the value jumps out - and I don't see why Soren Hansen should be ten times the price he will start at for this weeks French Open. If he has really put his "tax problems" behind him he could well prove to be a great trade and I have invested £40 at 390
27 June 08.45
Well I got one call right for the Open - I can't see Ben Curtis going off any bigger than 80/1 - on the other hand Vijay Singh...........!!
I had a quick look at the BMW this morning and spotted something a bit odd - the last time Cabrera-Bello shot 71,67,66 he shot 60 in the final round in Austria and won!! - worth a few quid at 120 on Betfair for some interest before the football.
25 June 13.05
I am keeping a very close eye on leaderboards at the moment looking for potential plays for the Open - Vijay said he was back and didn't play that badly at Pebble and at 185 on the exchanges I had to get involved for St Andrews as he currently leads on the PGA tour
24 June 22.05
Well the US Open didn't finish that long ago but we have to move on to the next Major - the Open at St Andrews in a few weeks time and one player that is worth backing now as he is coming into form is Ben Curtis. I have taken some 150 win and 125/1 each way - I doubt very much he will start in three figures
22 June 12.37
I have long been a fan of Felipe Aguilar and do think one day he could win a lot more on the European Tour and he might get an opportunity this week. Last year he was 4th in the BMW International on the back of five straight missed cuts - this year he arrives in much better form.He was 36th in Madrid but 5th in the all round stats and in Portugal was 13th and 4th in the stats - sandwiched between those two was a m/c in Wales but he had a quad bogey in round one which blew his chances. He has won in Germany before on the Challenge Tour and I think he is worth a bet - have had some on the win 240 average on Betfair and then top 5 and ties 25/1
22 June 10.50
I remember a few years ago when McDowell won on the Euro tour it seemed to inspire something in the Northern Irish contingent (much as it does with the French) and soon Clarke and Hoey won - well something similar may happen with Clarke who seems to be a golfer who needs "inspiration" these days. Armed with a new set of shafts in his irons and a new caddie on the bag he played three excellent rounds in Portugal to finish 6th and the last time he played this course in 2004 he occupied that position. I have backed him e/w 60/1 with Jenningsbet who offer 6 places but the 66/1 Betfred is more than fair (plus a bit at 85 on Betfair)
21 June 09.28
Another US Open done and dusted and the place part of the e/w bet on Love scuppered by an absolute shocker of a shot on 17. Last nights result brought back some interesting thoughts and memories - two years since Mediate in the US Open, three years since Havrets' win in the Scottish Open - both brought lots of money to my betting balance. These are the big wins I have been missing over the last twelve months - last year Rhys Wood in the Open and Yang in the US PGA were the best results of the year so I think it still makes sense to concentrate on the Majors and I will keep going with the specialist bets on round one leaders and the minor tours - it's only a matter of time - I keep telling myself!!
19 June 22.59
I have sat here tonight and watched the last two hours coverage and eventually pulled the trigger on Davis Love e/w at 150/1 1/5 4. Whilst the front nine is throwing up some chances the back nine is playing brutal and with the wind up the sun out and late tee times meaning the poa greens are going to grow I wouldn't be surprised if +1 led at the end of today and +4 will be in the top 10. Love follows in the tradition of every US Open winner at Pebble having won the pro-am - indeed he has won it twice - hopefully I will wake up to something nicer than I did this morning!
19 June 11.02
What a difference a few hours makes - went to bed last night not feeling too bad about things - had just laid some Fujita at 50/55, Barnes and Verplank were up there and BVP not far behind - certainly didn't look that way this morning!!! Who knows what will happen today but I can see Mickelson finally winning his US Open.
18 June 10.22
I didn't get to see much of the first round yesterday due to being out and then tucked up in bed! I guess my position is one of - could have been a lot better/could have been a lot worse but I have four players sat on +1 who all played in the morning which actually played 0.75 shots harder than the afternoon. The only thing I have done is laid some Fujita as his DA/GIR stats were woeful and he won't shoot +1 again playing like that

15 June 15.46
Its time for the second Major of the year and the US Open returns to one of its best venues – Pebble Beach. There have been a few changes to the course so don't expect anyone to run away with it like Woods did back in 2000 and also don't expect the course to look like it does at the beginning of each year for the annual pro-am. I really think Woods might well struggle and I haven't seen enough positive signs from him over the last few months and although Dustin Johnson has won the last two pro-ams he will find this a different kettle of fish. When we last saw Mickelson he was hitting the ball an absolute mile – in all directions – but you simply wouldn't rule him out finding what was required this week.
The one thing I will say about the US Open is that surprises happen – last years top three Glover,Barnes and Duval were hardly expected and I remember the “battle of wounded knee” vividly from 2008 having had some decent sized bets on Rocco Mediate at up to 600/1. Other recent winners such as Cabrera and Campbell were hardly near the top of the betting tree so expect outsiders to contend. What I have done is picked out the players that I can see contending and what the best markets for them are – obviously looking at value from a betting point of view. Underneath I have then listed all my bets with books and positions on Betfair

First of all the two players I bet antepost and getting a bit more value knowing the prices would shorten

Stewart Cink - seems to reserve some of his best play for the Summer and plays especially well on seaside links with small greens - his two wins at Harbour Town are testament to that plus of course he has a good Open record obviously winning at Turnberry (was also 6th Carnoustie). He is one player who doesn't play the Pebble Beach pro-am but I would swerve players who do well in that event - the course set up will be totally different and it is a different time of year and when Pebble was last used for the US Open he was 8th having opened up with a very poor 77. He would love to add to the one Major he has and would dearly love to win a US Open - he came so close at Southern Hills in 2001.

Bo Van Pelt – a bet based on his current form and there really is not a lot to add to the obvious - if someone else had the finishes below recently he would be sitting amongst the favourites
Verizon heritage 3rd
Quail Hollow 5th
Players Championship 4th
Crowne Plaza 10th
Memorial 3rd

Players added this week

Ricky Barnes - I picked out and had a decent bet on Barnes in the pro-am earlier this year and tbh he was disappointing – although his best round a 69 came at Pebble Beach. Basically Ricky grew up playing Pebble Beach and other courses around the area (a bit like Tom Watson) and much of his best form has been on courses in California. After last years 2nd place finish in the US Open he didn't do a lot but this season he is finally starting to fulfil his potential with a 10th at the Masters,5th at Harbour Town and then 7th and 3rd in his last two starts

Vijay Singh - IF he is back to his best (as he says he is) then he has an excellent US Open and Pebble Beach pedigree and around 150 on Betfair could be a very good trading price

Scott Verplank – another player who has been if fine form of late 13th at the Players and 5th in the last two events of the Texas swing. Normally I would say he couldn't win a US Open due to his length off the tee but this is shorter and will favour his accurate play and he can boast two top ten finishes in US Opens in his last six attempts so that is probably the best market for him.

Hiroyuki Fujita – well what can I say apart from what an insulting price for the best Japanese player at the moment in the field. He is turning into the Japanese equivalent of Kenny Perry or Vijay Singh – since turning 40 last June he has won three times. In Japan this year he has finished 11/1/2/3/27/2 – incredibly consistent and he has also won the Open qualifier held in Malaysia and the US Open qualifier by an impressive five shots. Far East players have been doing better in Majors over the last few years – Tanihara placed in the Open a few years back and Katayama placed at Augusta last year – plus of course we had Yang winning the PGA Championship - perhaps he has been inspired by the Korean. He is one of the most accurate players on his home tour and one of his wins a few years ago came on the Southern Links at Okinawa a course which is very similar to Pebble Beach.

Eric Axley – a bit of a stab in the dark – says he is playing well (not borne out by his results!) - but he hosed up last Monday in the most competitive qualifier – maybe he can repeat the top 10 he got at Torrey Pines two years ago when he played really well for three rounds.

Tom Watson – well after watching him at Turnberry last season I simply cannot leave him out of the equation. In a sense Pebble Beach is similar to Turnberry for Watson as he has probably more experience than any other player in the field at the venue. It will be hard and fast so he won't be disadvantaged by length – he can plot his way round and with his showings at Dubai and the Masters this year you really couldn't rule out a complete fairytale – ignore him at your peril at such big prices!

Betfair - winner with Woods
Bo Van Pelt £70 150
Stewart Cink £30 190
Ricky Barnes £30 160
Vijay Signh £15 190
Scott Verplank £15 280
Tom Watson £25 650
Hiroyuki Fujita £95 950

Betfair winner without Woods
Stewart Cink £25 110

Bookmaker Bets
Stewart Cink £40 ew 100/1 ¼ 5
Bo Van Pelt £40 ew 100/1 ¼ 5
Ricky Barnes £20 ew 125/1 ¼ 6
Scott Verplank £25 top 10 14/1
Hiroyuki Fujita £20 top 5 100/1 + £10 ew top ROW 100/1
Eric Axley £10 top 10 66/1
Tom Watson £10 ew 400/1 ¼ 6

15 June 10.04
I do find the prices on Hiroyuki Fujita surprisingly insulting and have backed him accordingly outright on Betfair, top 5 and top ROW to take out around £100k - more on why later.
14 June 16.44
Next player to add to my outright betting portfolio has to be Ricky Barnes after what I said about him for the AT&T and I think 125/1 ew with 6 places is more than fair (+some on at 170 win only Betfair) - if you can do try and get on at the books with 6 places - I know how many golfers I have backed over the years who have finished 6th!!
14 June 14.59
Sometimes a price on Betfair just stands out and grabs your attention and it did this morning when I saw 190 Vijay Singh and had to have a small dabble - IF he is back to his best (as he says he is) then he has an excellent US Open and Pebble Beach pedigree. It's going to be a busy two days but I am biding my time in trying to decide what best markets to play my selections in.
13 June 22.24
Well it seems like I made the right call on Bo Van Pelt - yesterday he was still 140 on Betfair - today I have managed to lay some as low as 50!!! - it really was too big a price and the bookmakers have been adding him to their markets at around the 66/1 mark. Apart from the two I have mentioned so far I have another eight players who will be worth looking at in various markets - more tomorrow as more books go up with specialist markets.
11 June 13.07
A quick update on what sort of profit the Select Service Bets have returned over the first month - 56 points staked 99.25 returned plus two mentions at 500/1 and 125/1 which placed - not too shabby for £75 a month! If you want to see a run down of the results send me an email - they are all independently proofed.
10 June 21.59
OK - second bet for next weeks US Open (after Cink) has to be this man - if someone else had the finishes below recently he would be sitting amongst the favourites
Verizon heritage 3rd
Quail Hollow 5th
Players Championship 4th
Crowne Plaza 10th
Memorial 3rd
How the hell can Bo Van Pelt be 100/1 ew?? - have had £40 ew plus been matched for £70 at 150 on Betfair - with any luck I will be able to trade if he can maintain his current form.
Select Service customers just missed out on a big pay day with Manley in round one in Portugal at 150/1 - still a nice place return
9 June 23.09
I have been working all day on the US Open and it is a surprise that more books haven't priced up all the runners so far as they are known so I guess its hats off to Ladbrokes and Paddy Power for their early efforts at pricing every player. I must admit the more I look at it the more I am really looking forward to it and I have some very good ideas for bets - what I will try and do is put bets up as I come up with them over the coming 5 days and also on Tuesday do a full written preview
9 June 11.00
Apart from the select service first round bets I really do feel uninspired by this weeks events so have concentrated on preparing for the US Open next week - I do love the Majors and it certainly doesn't feel like two years ago we were cheering on Rocco at some massive prices - hopefully I can find next weeks "Rocco"!
I have had a look at this weeks LPGA event - the State Farm Classic and have a feeling Se Ri Pak is overpriced around 50/1. She won her last full field event a month ago and her best performance last year was a 2nd place finish here at Panther Creek - best prices available here
7 June 10.17
At last I have found the holy grail to finding winners on the PGA and European tours and it really is quite simple - pick any player who you think won't win an event because they either never have or haven't for a long time and back them! The list is growing longer by the week for this season - yesterday we added Justin Rose to Luke Donald,Simon Khan,Adam Scott,Fred Hed,Tim Clark etc.
Stewart Cink completed his warm up for Pebble Beach with a solid performance and I think he is peaking at the right time - I think he will be tipped up a lot next week and would be surprised if he went off bigger than 66/1
5 June 11.17
Its Derby day today - last year I would have been interested - this year with the demise of Horse Betting Index I can't say I am bothered in the least - I must admit the demise of HBI is probably one of the best things to happen to me.
Have got a little involved in Wales this morning jumping on Lynn at 500/1 as he started his romp through the field - hopefully the leaders will stumble like yesterday.
4 June 23.07
A quick post re Cink for the US Open - I really do think looking at his stats so far in this weeks Memorial he is definitely heading in the right direction and will probably be a big steamer
On the select servce bet front I did put out a mention for Nielsen in the Champions tour who has finished t4th at 125/1 - sadly with umpteen others!!
1 June 21.53
A bit more on Laird for the Memorial - he definitely seems to be a player to get on side once he hits form and his 10th place last week seems to have been inspired by his qualification for the Open which he was thrilled at. Whilst he has no course form for Muirfield Village he does have a solid history at Jack Nicklaus designed courses with plenty of low rounds. I think the odds reflect the fact he has no course form but I wouldn't count that against him as he is a winner on tour and has a solid top 6 strike rate even in good quality fields.
1 June 18.23
For those of you wondering how the select service is going - so far 35 points staked with a profit of 23.75 points - so a pretty good return but a low strike rate (this doesn't include last weeks mention when we had a 500/1 shot tied 5th but only two books priced up so not an official bet) There are still a couple of places remaining if anyone wants to join just send me an email.

1 June 13.02
As yesterday was a bank holiday I decided to join a lot of other people and actually have a day off for a change! Anyway - quick post - looking at this weeks Memorial - will explain more later but have had a good bet on Martin Laird - win only on Betfair at 280 and top 6 with Stan james at 33/1
Also in view of what I said about Cink last week for the US Open I was lucky and got in early at 75 for this weeks event - expect a solid couple of weeks from last seasons Open Champion

30 May 12.14
Last night Belgium in the Eurovision performed much the same as my golfers - 2nd or 3rd with a few "holes" to go only to stumble over the line just out the frame having been laid at 1/5!!
Have looked again at the Colonial - Pat Perez has finished with a 65 and a 66 the last twice he has played here to finish 4th and 6th and another round like that would possibly get him in the frame - will take a chance at the 16/1 on Betfair (plus a token bet at 400 on the win.
29 May 21.58
I have managed to sit here all night without a drink and follow Eurovision - and I don't think Ukraine will be winning but there are always surprises - I really can't see Germany winning even after a mountain of money but I think Belgium might go well and have backed them at 30/1 win and 6/1 top 4
On the golf front Pettersson got off to a blistering start and I gave quite a bit back at 10 - thank God as he went to pieces after that - bit miffed the guy I mentioned for the Senior Major is winning without a penny on from me DOH!!
29 May 17.35
There has been one player I have been waiting to back for the US Open at Pebble Beach all year but have been waiting to see a turnaround in his form and I think I am now beginning to see it - Stewart Cink. Last week he started hitting the ball well at the Byron Nelson and he has continued that this week at the Crowne Plaza. So why back him for Pebble Beach? Well quite simply he seems to reserve some of his best play for the Summer and plays especially well on seaside links with small greens - his two wins at Harbour Town is testament to that plus of course he has a good Open record obviously winning at Turnberry (was also 6th Carnoustie). He is one player who doesn't play the Pebble Beach pro-am but I would swerve players who do well in that event - the course set up will be totally different and it is a different time of year and when Pebble was last used for the US Open he was 8th having opened up with a very poor 77. He would love to add to the one Major he has and would dearly love to win a US Open - he came so close at Southern Hills in 2001. There is another reason for backing him now (apart from his upturn in form ) he also goes particularly well at the Memorial which is next weeks event so his odds could tumble. I have placed the following bets over the last day or two
£80 ew 100/1 outright
£25 winner without Woods Betfair 110/1
£30 winner with Woods Betfair 190/1
29 May 12.59
Ah sod it - I'm not going anywhere tonight and have been drawn by the lure of Eurovision - looking for an outsider with a squeak - Ukraine e/w 80/1 1/4 4 and a bit at 120 on Betfair - best prices here
28 May 11.30
Well Steve Flesch had a bit of a mare and shot +3 and Gary Hallberg got off to a shocker when +4 through 4 but fought back incredibly well with five birdies to sit in t12th on -1 - I also mentioned Loeffler to select service clients for round one - finished t5th - not bad for a 500/1 shot!
I have had a close look at the Crowne Plaza this morning and three catch my eye with early tee times today
Carl Pettersson - Swedes going well, three time PGA winner two off the lead 75/1 win Betfair
Cameron Beckman - -3 in round one, 5th last week and a winner this year 220/1 win and 28/1 top 5 inc ties
Tim Herron - also -3 round one, has won and been 2nd here before 320/1 win and 25/1 top 5 inc ties
27 May 11.07
Nothing really exciting in this post I'm afraid except to say it's funny how things can change from one year to the next - in the past I was mad about betting on Eurovision and would spend hours looking at it but since it has become a massive betting heat and the format has changed I have lost all interest and haven't looked at it at all this year. I still like to mess around with the Miss World and Miss Universe betting when it comes around and still a bit of SPOTY but perhaps I need something else to occupy my mind during quiet days!!
I have still been looking around at betting blogs and it seems that a lot that have sprung up have disappeared - it is difficult to keep them going but I do think putting your thoughts down helps keep you sane - such as this one http://bfal.blogspot.com/ - and when things are going well it is a lot easier to keep blogging - hopefully he will succeed in his quest long term.
25 May 22.31
I have been looking pretty closely today at this weeks Senior PGA which comes from Colorado on the new course designed by Crenshaw and Coore who also did Kapalua.
One of the keys will be playing at altitude so I have concentrated on local players or those that live at altitude, Jay Don Blake is from Utah and could go well and you just can't rule out Romero but I will take a chance with big priced outsider Gary Hallberg having read this article http://www.denverpost.com/golf/ci_15148608 He has played well in the wind recently shooting a course record in Mississippi in very windy conditions and they have had 50 pmh gusts on practice days this week. He played well at the US Senior Open in 08 at Broadmoor Colorado when 14th shooting three very good rounds out of four and at 250/1 represents possible value - I took the 300/55/22 with Extrabet.
24 May 19.38
Quickly glossing over the shocking final round from Canizares and moving swiftly on to the Crowne Plaza event - one early outright price I just can't see staying around is anything in three figures for Steve Flesch. For a player coming nicely into form playing an event where players often repeat win then this is simply far too big a price.
Best prices available here Crowne Plaza
23 May 08.57
I decided to have a quick study of the main two events to detect any final round outright value - after Karlssons' round yesterday I guess anything is possible at Wentworth! After looking down the field the one that catches my eye on Betfair for the BMW is Canizares. His final round scoring since the tour returned to mainland Europe has been 68,68,68,66 and has included two top 5 finishes and a 10th improving his final round position every time.He has improved with every round this week as he has got used to the greens and the 12/1 for a top 5 is definitely value plus a small bet at 500/1 for the magic round! Will be back later if I spot everything for the Byron.
Almost forgot to add - I don't think I will be getting 600/1 on Chris Wood for this years Open lol

20 May 21.18
Its not been the best day for me at Wentworth as I underestimated what effect the course changes would have as they were basically changes to all the greens and they seem to have made quite a difference.
I have continued all day changing the bookmakers page which has now gone live - I hope you find it useful.

20 May 12.09
Apologies for the lack of stuff on here this week - I have been busy revamping the Bookmakers page of this site as I haven't really touched it for some time and it is time to cut out some dead wood (bookmakers I don't use anymore) and add a few more - plus some of the comments are no longer applicable.This should all be complete over the next few days.
I am also going to change the links page and one thing I am always interested to read are other betting blogs - a few weeks ago saw the demise of one of the better ones out there JP's but if you know of any please let me know.
18 May 10.16
As you are aware the vast majority of my bets will now be given out to Select Service clients only but sometimes I will put stuff up here for the outright markets and there is one guy who I think is overpriced in the BMW PGA Championship and that is Stephen Dodd. He has found a rich vein of form recently due some vastly improved putting and has been 2nd,6th and 7th in his last three outings and he has a habit of maintaining his form for decent periods when it arrives. He has won three pretty big events on the tour and wouldn't be phased by this one and when he hit form last season he was 4th at Wentworth so I just cannot see why he is 100/1 + in the betting
16 May 09.38
Well that gave Peter Gustafsson the kiss of death yesterday!! Moving swiftly on to Texas - I got Wetterich onside yesterday morning at 60/1 ew and I really cannot see why on earth he is a much bigger price that Nitties and Jones who have never won a thing between them - will see how things pan out with Brett. They are going to try and play 36 holes today and I have do have a small play in mind on one player but am not on yet - more later this morning.
Looking at next week - I have some decent bets lined up for the Select Service for which there are now only four places left - if you want to join just get in touch.
14 May 22.28
With no play today in Texas I can't really look at any outright plays at the cut so I have had a look at Mallorca and with the wind due to blow tomorrow anyone would think with the prices quoted there is just one round to go! - in tricky conditions anything can happen over 36 holes and I do think Peter Gustafsson is overpriced at 40 on Betfair. He does tend to hold his form well and will be suitably inspired by fellow Swede Fred Hed - I just hope he is inspired more than Pelle Edberg who has a habit of throwing in a howler at some point.
14 May 21.27
It's quite amazing how quickly your fortunes can change - I had a small bet on Murphy at 400/1 and he was within two shots of the lead through seven holes - two hours later he had missed the cut!! - then again at least he earnt me some money after day one!
13 May 19.10
Well the select service clients nearly got off to an absolute blinder with Gary Murphy a 2 pt ew bet at 150/1 - shot into an early lead at -4 through 7 but then made 4 bogeys in 5 holes before rallying with a couple of late birdies and we had to endure a long day before finally declaring a tie for 3rd with 3 other players and meaning a 50 point profit was secured in the very first week!! If you want to get top quality bets like that just get in touch.
12 May 12.42
After just two days half of the ten positions on the select service have now been filled - the cost is £75 per month - all results will be posted here so keep ay eye out for how things pan out tomorrow
12 May 10.43
I have just been through the whole field in Mallorca looking at the odds for the outrights and all I can say is I'm glad I don't have to write a column with two or three selections as absolutely nothing stands out from a betting perspective. I guess you could say at least Levet is a fairly regular winner and keep an eye out for Andrew Willey who is having a consistent season but I couldn't see him winning.
The same could be said of Texas and here it is even worse with no course form to go on either though it looks like it is going to be a stern test and if you are looking for someone to give you a bit of interest at a big price Bobby Gates could be your man.
The course being used for the Japanese PGA event looks fascinating http://www.golf-in-japan.com/course.php?ID=2034 but I can't find anything about past tournaments.
The European Seniors are at Stapleford Park and Sam Torrance will feel right at home as he has close ties with the course but as he hasn't won on that tour since March last year 6/1 does look very skinny.
The Nationwide event this week is a multi course pro-am where former Clemson Tigers have a good record so Kyle Stanley should go well but I would want 50/1 about him considering his form on tour so far.
So all in all a pretty dull week for outright betting - maybe I will have a look at the cut mark.
11 May 18.23
The new select service was launched today with the first bet already sent out - if you want to join then send me an email - there are still places available but these are strictly limited to ten - info@sportsbettingindex.com
10 May 13.31
Just a quick reminder to those people looking at this weeks Texas Open - its on a new course - designed by Norman with Garcia consulting. Personally I won't be betting on it before the off but to give you some help in picking out a few bets -

"Unlike other Tournament Player Club properties built for spectators, as well as golf, the Oaks course fits tightly inside the 2,800-acre Cibilo Canyons development east of U.S. 281, snugly up against the trunks of oak trees and stems of native grasses. There are relatively few spectator mounds and open lawn areas, common at venues such as TPC Sawgrass, home of the Players Championship in Florida, or TPC Scottsdale in Phoenix.That's part of what makes the Oaks course so different in look and feel. But the prevailing design elements — large, sweeping green complexes with gaping sand bunkers — mimic the golfing ground of a different continent, suggesting a sensibility found in Norman's homeland Australia, particularly the sandbelt courses near Melbourne."

9 May 16.25
Sadly Russell couldn't muster another birdie on the back 9 and lost out by one shot to eventual winner Sam Walker. I think these rare bets for minor events will be left to the select private service for the future as they do tend to be few and far between and very profitable - I have hardly put any bets up for the Challenge Tour but with this ew 2nd at 80/1,Vanegas' win at 200/1 and Claverie 2nd at 250/1 I think less is definitely more!
Talking of which I still have a few spots available for the select service just send an email to info@sportsbettingindex.com
9 May 14.19
Well so far he has done totally what I predicted - +3 on the front 9 and he has just had back-to-back birdies at 11 and 12 to get within 2 of the lead.
9 May 10.05
Raymond Russell heads into the final round with a slender one shot lead - I expect him to drop a few shots early as he dislikes the front 9, plus the added pressure, he did drop down the leaderboard in Spain a few weeks ago but came back strongly to win - here's hoping he can do the same in France.
6 May 23.32
Well it looks like Crane and Perry have come up just shy of tying for the lead at Sawgrass. I have been paper trading and tweaking and playing these round one leader markets for a while and there are certainly some interesting results this season with the 31 selections showing a profit of around 60% if they had all been backed each way - maybe it's time for a select service for a handful of people - if you would be interested drop me a line - bookmakers need not apply lol
5 May 19.13
A couple of further bets for this weeks golf - starting with the Italian Open - if it actually stops raining! In my mind Gareth Maybin will go very well this week but won't be carrying any of my money at 28/1 as a a non winner on tour so far. I will have a small play on Roope Kakko for round one leader - 8th here last year with a 2nd round 64 he often gets off to a fast start. He hasn't played much this season partly due to weather and playing opportunities plus becoming a dad again but he was 10th on the Challenge Tour in Columbia. £15 ew 125/1 - best prices here
In the Players I will just stick with Ames outright but a couple of small win bets on the round one market on Betfair - Crane £15 85 and Perry £15 110.
On the Challenge tour in France I really fancy Raymond Russell to go well - dogged by a shoulder injury he has been playing the small tours in recent years and won in Spain a couple of weeks ago. He plays all his best golf on windy links - his best ever result was probably his 4th at Birkdale in the Open and this weeks course is definitely a tricky coastal one. He was 6th on his only visit here in 07 and last week in Turkey led after round one maintaining his good recent form. I wanted £25 ew at 80 but had to settle for £5 ew and £10 ew 66/1 - the few books that quote this market are here
Good luck this week
Ian

4 May 17.00
Well nothing yet to add to the one bet - will wait for tee times for the Players before considering round one bets and the Italian Open is in danger of being washed out.
In the meantime here is a little poem that always seems to help me through the tough times and is very appropriate for my current state of mind

A man with too little has never enough and must always strive after more,
A man with enough has more than enough and must daily give thanks for his share.

I had too little but now I've enough and that's more than enough for me, 
If you have too little, I wish you the same and a life that is tranquil and free.

But if you have enough and it's never enough and fretting you strive after more,
Then I wish you well in your restless hell, for you'll get nothing more from me.

3 May 19.36
No birthday present yesterday but I will quickly interrupt my Bank Holiday day off to say that Stephen Ames is way overpriced for the Players Championship. His record here is well documented with a win,2nd and 5th and interestingly in November he recorded his second win in the Childrens Miracle in Florida. His form this season has been very solid - at the Verizon he was 3rd with a round to go and also was 6th at the Transitions in Florida. In his 54 starts in the state he now has 3 wins and roughly a 10% top 5 strike rate and a 25% top 10 strike rate - how on earth can he be 66/1 let alone 80/1 - big bet for me all the best prices are here - back tomorrow
2 May 11.03
Happy birthday to me - what would I like as a present - a Colsaerts win and a Harman place would be nice - surely thats not a lot to ask?
30 April 19.22
I have been running SBI for over 9 years now and have always been open, transparent and honest and I have come to know a lot of people I have dealt with over the years some of whom I would now regard as good friends. In the recent past I have had the misfortune of seeing the seedier side of this business and something I never wanted to be associated with - all I want to say is be wary of things - people are not always what you think they are.
28 April 20.48
Right then - some final thoughts on this weeks selections and a few more bets to add to the portfolio - Spanish Open - the simple reason for the round one play on O'Hara is his consistent round one performance here - he has been 7/5/2 and says he loves the course which was the venue for his first Euro top 10 back in 2004. With the rough up this week the course should play right into his hands - he is one of the most accurate players on tour. Colsaerts has shown glimmers of form this season and also played here back in 2004 when he led after the opening day and I am sure one day he will gain a victory on the main tour. A quick mention to one other player - Raul Quiros - he won the Peugeot Tour championship here in 2008 and then was 21st last year - worth a few small plays - £5 ew round one 200/1, £15 top 20 16/1 and £5 win 600.
Quail Hollow - can't say I am looking forward to Sky televising Woods first regular PGA event and I doubt we will see anyone else playing a shot. Immelman seems to be returning to his best and if injury free should go well on a course he has performed well before on.
Mississippi Gulf - Jodie Mudd makes his Champions Tour debut having effectively quit the game back in 1996 but he was a good player in his prime and all his best golf was played in the southern states - at the price he was worth taking a chance with.
Stadion Athens Classic - with the event switching venue to the Georgia University golf course it was worth looking at the Bulldogs playing this week who will have course knowledge but Kisner and Kirk are too short and Bolli won't have played it since it was revamped in 2006. Stan James seem to have missed Brian Harman - a top amateur who has been played on the Tarheel tour and is 3rd on the money list behind last weeks pick Kokrak - so he has to be worth a bet at 500/1 - got £8 ew. I also have an inkling Nick Flanagan might be returning to the form that saw him win three times on this tour in 2007 providing he is over his back problems - £15 ew 125/1.
28 April 13.16
Well it certainly seems to be turning into rather a quiet week which I guess is not the end of the world with the way things have been going - my main 2 bets of the week are on the following players
Quail Hollow - Immelman £10 win 120 w/o Woods £15 win 160 + £10 ew 100/1 & £10 win 100 for round one leader
Spanish Open - O'Hara £10 win 250 + £5 ew 110/1 & £20 ew 100/1 round one leader
Back later tonight with final thoughts
27 April 14.17
I have been a bit busy making some changes to the site so will just give a quick update on bets so far for this week - only small ones
Spanish Open - Nicolas Colsaerts round one - £4 ew 125/1, £6 ew 100/1 + £10 win outright 200/1 Betdaq.
Mississippi Gulf - Jodie Mudd £10 win 250/1 £15 place 50/1 Expekt
I am also working on the launch of a new product - Football Betting Index (or FBI for short - unsurprisingly!) to be launched in July - if you want to be kept updated about its progress simply send me an email with FBI in the title
26 April 10.14
Sadly Kokrak couldn't keep it up after a good start to his round he faded badly and didn't provide any return at all. A busy week ahead - after the demise of HBI got all the refunds to do to outstanding clients and there is plenty of golf on this week
25 April 12.02
A frustrating day - although I would have loved to have bet winner Shoubikova at the early 12/1 I would probably have cancelled that out with a big bet on Wanjiru! In the end Mergia got 3rd whilst Kirui who traded at Evens at one point faded badly in the last 2 miles to go from 2nd to 5th and finished very distressed.
On the golf front Kokrak still has a chance though his back 9 in tricky conditions yesterday was colourful to say the least!

24 April 21.53
OK here is my take on the 2010 London marathon - my runners to follow are purely based on price and not necessarily who I think will win though I have commented on the chief contenders
Mens Race - when prices first came out on Tuesday I thought that maybe I had priced it up wrong when I went 6/4 Wanjiru but they opened 7/2 and 3/1 but as I would have no chance of getting on and had to wait and sure enough everyone else agreed with me so no bet there! He is the worthy favourite having won 4 of the 5 marathons he has run in including the Olympics and London last year although he has had some problems with his back. Second favourite is Tadese but I couldn't take him at such a short price - depite the fact he is the fastest half marathoner his one attempt at the full distance ended in failure. I think the 14/1 currently on offer for Abel Kirui is simply too big - known as a pace maker for Geb when he attempted his world records he is the second faster runner in the field and won the World Champs in Berlin with Kebede (half his price) back in 3rd - 14/1 just has to be wrong.
Womens Race - Mikitenko is a worthy favourite going for her third straight title but I would err on the side of caution as she has been suffering from shin splints - not the best thing to have when running a road marathon. I don't think the support for Brit Yamauchi is anything other than patriotic - she had a nightmare journey to London and I don't think she is capable of running the 2.21 she might need to win it. Shobukhova should be a strong contender - 2nd to Mikitenko on her marathon debut in London last year and then beating her in Chicago to win - the early 12/1 again was wrong but no chance to place a bet and now the price is about right. My main pick at the prices early doors was Kiwi Kim Smith who started one marathon back in 2008 in New York but withdrew as she was ill in the days running up to it. She was 66/1 then and that was with Radcliffe in the field and I would say she is a stronger athlete now and should be around 33/1 - she is a huge talent and the marathon is expected to be her best distance so she could be a surprise podium package. Yoshimi Ozaki is an interesting Japanese contender - I picked her for the World Championships when she was 2nd and she is the same price this week - her only two other marathon performances were in Japan where she finished 1st and 2nd. She is quoted in the Japanese press as she is aiming for a 2.21 which would get her bang in contention. A couple of dark horses who really could be anything are a pair of Ethiopians - Berlin winner Habtamu and Aselefech Mergia.

24 April 21.21
I decided to wait and let the prices settle for the London Marathon as trying to take an early price is next to impossible and forces other bookmakers to price up correctly plus you never know what Betfair may show up. I will be back later with a bit more detail but my personal bets are as follows
Mens
Abel Kirui £30 ew 14/1
Ladies
Kim Smith £10 ew 100/1 & £20 ew 66/1
Yoshimi Ozaki £20 ew 25/1 & £6 win 33/1 (Betfair)
Aselech Mergia £9 win 40/1 & £9 podium 7/1 (Betfair)
Atsede Habtamu £6 win 43/1 & £7 podium 7/1 (Betfair)
23 April 15.52
Quck update - Kim Smith is 100/1 at Paddy Power e/w for Sunday
23 April 13.11
London Marathon this Sunday and thankfully all the athletes have got there one way or another and prices are starting to go up - the bet of the year would have been Wanjiru 7/2 ew 1/3 3 with Bluesquare - sadly they declined my request for £1000 e/w lol. One quick bet while the price holds for the ladies event - Kim Smith - I have had £10 ew 100/1 and £20 ew 66/1 - Hills,Skybet and Bluesquare are still that price - will go into details later
Best prices here
21 April 19.16
This weeks Nationwide event is the South Georgia Classic where I have fond memories of John Kimbell winning a few years ago at 150/1 - Stan James weren't ebst pleased! This week I had a very close eye on Keegan Bradley who won the stage 1 Q school here by a country mile 6 months ago - however it seems that everyone and his dog knows this fact and 40/1 is a joke of a price. I have had a small dabble on Jason Kokrak whose big hitting game will be suited to the longest course on tour. He has been playing really well on the E Golf Tarheel tour with finishes of 5/1/16/2 and I have dabbled as follows £2.50 ew 400/1 (Stan James remember lol) + £6 win 300/1 and £15 top 10 20/1 from Sportingbet Aus - available here
21 April 12.46
The player I really really fancy for the Ballantines is Mikko Ilonen, in great form and with some very solid rounds played on the Pinx course but the weather is going to play a significant part over the first couple of days so things have been tempered a bit.He is an OK player in poor conditions as witnessed by his rounds here over the past two seasons, maybe because he is a very good links player and apparently Jeju reminds him of Lapand! so he clearly feels at home on the island. I have gone -
£10 ew rd 1 50/1
£15 win rd 1 60/1
£60 win 55/1 average
£20 top 6 11/1
£30 top 5 11/1
20 April 21.28
Looks like it is going to be a quiet week - I do wonder if there will be any bets to be had for the London marathon with doubts over athletes getting to the start line but the research is done and I am ready! Over in Korea I am waiting for a really accurate weather forecast before deciding whether to go for a strong bet. I have bet one player in the Zurich Classic - Jay Williamson £5 ew 200/1 and £10 ew 175/1 for round one plus £15 at a shade under 500 just in case he gets up there and stays there.
19 April 21.08
Managed to lay back my stake on Baddeley and Barnes after they both made good starts - but that was as good as it got as they both never got in a blow afterwards. Got a few ideas for this week - a round one bet for Louisiana, one for Ballantines - maybe outright as well and an interesting one for the Nationwide if the price is right - oh and its London marathon week - be nice to get another Meb Kef at 100/1 and both fields are really strong.
18 April 10.52
Well Yang did the business in China but at the price he was on a new course having flown in from the Masters I couldn't have backed him before the off. In the US the leaderboard looks very tightly packed and anyone could win it - expect a lot of changes tonight - hopefully Baddeley can play a little more consistently and I must admit before they teed off yesterday I had to get Barnes onside at 100 (£20) having championed his cause several times this season I wouldn't want to miss out on his debut win!!
16 April 21.36
Baddeley played well today from a late tee added a 69 to yesterdays score and now sitting on -5 and with every chance - just before he birdied the last I added another £20 at 60/1. It was also good to see Cameron Beckman reward my original faith as he shot a 66 today from his early tee time and as he strode through the field I nicked £10 at 1000/1 so another 66 tomorrow would be nice!
16 April 11.58
Looking at the revised prices for the Verizon on Betfair I am not sure I understand why Baddeley is three times the price of Weekley on the same -3 score (apart from the fact that he is out later) - when you consider his course form includes a 1st,2nd and 10th - well worth a bet at 70
16 April 10.55
Davis Love did not improve my mood last night - on his final hole standing at -5 he needed a par to get a full place - 97 yards out - stuffed it in the bunker and failed to get up and down relegating him to an umpteenth tie for 4th - when your lucks out it really is out!!
14 April 21.32
Have had a very quiet week and not added to the Verizon bets I made on Monday and I wouldn't touch the China Open with a bargepole - new course which is an odd links mix combined with an iffy weather forecast - no thanks! Sticking with the round one leader bets in the Outback Steakhouse pro-am David Eger is worth £10 ew at 100/1 - whilst getting on a bit now he can still produce the goods early on. I am somewhat concerned at the lack of prices for this weeks Nationwide event - maybe its a sign of things to come but Canadian Dustin Risdon is worth a pop - £10 ew 125/1 - he plays his best golf on the West Coast and shot a course record 62 when the course was first used last year.
13 April 22.30
I have calmed down a bit after last weeks frustrating run of events - no further mention of them so back on with this weeks round one bets for the Verizon + I wouldn't rule out a small bet on the outrights for them - especially Beckman who is way overpriced
Davis Love £20 ew 66/1 average
Pampling £20 ew 80/1
Purdy £3.50 ew 140/1 & £10 ew 125/1
Beckman £2 ew 250/1 & £15 ew 175/1
11 April 23.34
Things haven't got any better - Couples 6th, Yang t8th and Barnes t10th - there won't be any posts for a few days methinks.
11 April 10.47
It's been an incredibly frustrating past 24 hours - which started in the Grand National with Erics Charm falling at the first, then Ricky Barnes bogeyed his first hole and Yang double bogeyed the easy par 5 second. To cap it all Poulter folded like a cheap suit and McCoy won the Grand National to make a mess of the SPOTY bet. To make matters worse the golf in Myanmar has just finished with Flint finishing - yup you guessed it - 6th - Aaaaaaaarrrrrrrrgggggggggggggggg!!!!
As they say in politics - things can only get better - lets hope so with a decent finish to the Masters tonight.
9 April 11.57
After last years debacle I said I wasn't going to get involved in SPOTY this year but there is someone I just have to bet and it has to be now really - Ian Poulter will have three main chances to shine in 2010 - this week at the Masters where he has started well, then the Open (both of which are on the BBC) and then the Ryder Cup. I guess the one additional thing he has in the favour is he does have a personality whether you like it or not. I have dabbled over the last week or so and now have the following position - not big but definitely worth it £10 win 80/1, £30 ew 66/1, £15 80 & £10 top 3 20 on Betfair.
9 April 09.26
Was a bit tired and just a little bit frustrated to post last night having watched Barnes' putt on 18 miss by an inch which would have got him into a tie for 2nd!! Overall though things don't look too bad - I have Couples place only, Yang right up there (don't you just love him!) and Barnes on -4. In all honesty I don't think Slocum and O'Hair are totally out of it on level par either so still all to play for and I haven't adjusted any positions yet
8 April 14.27
Augusta well under way now and as ever trying to find decent coverage is nigh on impossible though I guess every year you know it will be the same. Sadly Velasco didn't play great in round one in Madeira but Gavin Flint clearly loves the Myanmar course and sits 2nd after a 66 from a difficult afternoon tee time.
7 April 12.27
I feel like a little boy on Christmas Eve with the Masters starting tomorrow but back down to earth for five minutes - Madeira Masters - absolute shocker of an event this year in my eyes - even if I was having an outriht bet before the off I would be hard pushed to find one!! On the round one leader betting front sadly only three books up but I will have a small bet on someone who is usually a fast starter - Alvaro Velasco £15 ew 90/1 average.
6 April 20.05
Well the Masters is getting closer with the tee times announced today - and I guess the downside is that with Tiger being in the penultimate group we will have to endure the hype all day - then again I guess if he went out early his round would be analysed for the rest of the day - swings and roundabouts. One thing I will say from a betting point of view - the 5/1 on offer about a Tiger win is either one of the best prices ever or the worst!!
I have thought about doing a full preview but there are plenty out there already echoing the same thoughts as myself on a lot of picks so I will try to add a lot more comments over the course of the four days and maybe a few bets in running.
Don't forget all your best Masters odds can be found right here
6 April 15.22
A few more bets for the Masters just about brings to a conclusion on the betting front for the first Major of the year - I have added fpr the round one market Tim Clark - £20 ew 801 & AUS$20 100/1 win only + a further AUS$10 on Ricky Barnes at 350/1 win only plus £4 ew Larry Mize 500/1. ItI also suddenly dawned on me that on one of my main selections Sean O'Hair I had no place money on so got £40 at 14/1 on Betfair.
There is an Asian tour event in Myanmar this week and I have had a couple of small bets - Gavin Flint won an event here back in January by eight shots and is worth a bet at 100/1 in the hope the venue rekindles his form. Also in that event Lucas Lee was 3rd and the talented youngster could well repay dividends at 125/1.

5 April 14.53
I followed the golf last night with an odd outlook - Stupples worried me having only backed her for the first round and I think I would have torn my hair out had I backed her outright as she double bogeyed two of the last four to end up in a four way tie for 5th. In Houston weirdly Taylor lost in a play off!!
A quick update on how my Masters book looks - has changed a bit over the last week

Betfair Win Market
O'Hair +£7790
Yang +£75
Slocum +£24000
Barnes +£5250
Field -£90

Betfair without Woods
O'Hair +£6380
Singh +£1850
Yang +£3500
Campbell +£850
Slocum +£7375
Barnes + £3790
Field -£210

Bookmakers
Yang £40 ew 150/1
Slocum £10 ew 400/1
Barnes £10 ew 500/1
Couples £20 top 5 30/1
Campbell £30 ew 125/1
Flesch £10 ew 400/1
Barnes Rd 1 leader £10 ew 250/1 - 1/4 6 Stan James

3 April 11.25
Woke up this morning to find the Tote had gone all pink - well they had pushed out every player in the Masters - so I would suggest looking there if you want a bet. Annoyingly they go 150/1 Campbell but I don't want to invest any more on him but Flesch at 400/1 caught my eye - for a player who has been 5th and 6th the last tow years despite being out of form (as he is again) there is clearly something about Augusta he likes - £10 ew.
2 April 14.09
As I said earlier today - following the Houston leaderboard with a view to the Masters and Chad Campbell has to be added to the portfolio as he lost in the play off last year and was 3rd in 06 - £30 ew 125/1 + £15 winner without Woods 105
2 April 11.31
Well not too bad a result from the new tactic - and a lesson learnt as well - in Houston the only one of the five to reach the frame was Taylor who finished 3rd having rather annoyingly bogeyed 2 holes close home - he was the only one who I backed win only - so each way from now on for all!!!! In the Kraft Nabisco Stupples again played well in round one landing part of the each way money.
Its surprising how much more relaxed the week feels - and I have been tempted into a small bet on Points 190 win 17 top 5 just for a bit of interest over the weekend, I know I shouldn't but it will keep my eye on the leaderboard lookin for further Masters pointers.
1 April 10.34
Having looked at the tee times and the weather forecast for Houston there is a chance the early tee times may have an advantage so have added a small e/w play on Wagner who has led here twice after round one - £5 ew 125/1. Thats it - back later with what will hopefully be some positive news for the change of tactics!!
31 March 22.42
One last round one bet having looked at the tee times for the Nabisco - the youngster Alexis Thompson is first to tee off and I will have a token £10 ew at 55/1 that she causes a stir in round one. If I did have to have an outriht bet in this weeks Houston Open it would probably be DA Points at 200 on betfair but he did let me down badly last time I talked him up!!
31 March 10.28
I noticed this morning that Aussie Sportingbet also do round one betting though sadly win only but added a few more small bets
Adam Scott £10 80/1
DA Points £5 100/1
Briny Baird £5 140/1
Vaughan Taylor £5 140/1
Johnson Wagner £5 140/1

30 March 21.28
Moving on to round one of the Shell Houston Open and I have had a few small bets - luckily they are always likely to be small as that is all I am likely to get on!!!
Adam Scott £5 ew 60/1, £9 ew 55/1, £10 ew 50/1
DA Points £12 ew 80/1
Briny Baird £14 ew 125/1

30 March 15.11
First bet of the new strategy of round one leader markets is in this weeks Ladies first Major the Kraft Nabisco - Karen Stupples £25 ew 100/1 best prices here
29 March 22.00
I just added up where I stand on the Masters market with bets at bookmakers and on Betfair and they are as follows - no doubt a couple more will be added!
All the best Masters Prices can be found here

Betfair Win Market
O'Hair +£7770
Yang +£1760
Slocum +£29460
Field -£110

Betfair without Woods
O'Hair +£6410
Singh +£1890
Yang +£2100
Slocum +£7400
Field -£180

Bookmakers
Yang £40 ew 150/1
Slocum £10 ew 400/1
Barnes £10 ew 500/1
Couples £20 top 5 30/1
29 March 21.10
A bit gutted about the SAIL Open starting in just over five hours as only the one book has priced up as no others cottoned on early enough that it starts early - sadly the one book that priced up is Stan James who allowed me the princely sum of £5 ew on Rashid Khan at 250/1
29 March 11.19
Over the last 4 or 5 days I have had quite a long time lying around thinking about things (due to illness) as you might have gathered from my rant below on Saturday!! Well I hinted at a change earlier in the year - did I stick to it - No! should I have - Yes! I simply cannot see a way of making betting pay on the golf events week in week out on the outright side although this doesn't seem to be the case for the Majors - probably because most of those bets are Antepost. The one 200/1 winner I had this year was a case of a little extra knowledge which makes sense when you think about it and how often am I likely to find a bit of extra knowledge about a main PGA or European event - rarely. So here's the deal - betting on Majors will continue - after all they are the highlight of the year,betting on the smaller tournaments will carry on if an edge is found and with the main tour events I will dabbling on round one leader markets only.
Will be back later with maybe one for the SAIL Open and an update of where bets stand for the Masters - I did add £10 ew Ricky Barnes 500/1 last night.
27 March 16.10
Sometimes I really do wish I would listen to myself and heed my own advice - now then what did I say - stick to the smaller events (and the four Majors) where I might have some sneaky knowldege - play on the Nationwide Tour where I have had a lot of success - have I done so? have I b******s!! Who was the one winner I have had this season - Vanegas playing his home course having been 4th the year before and 200/1 - sometimes I really am a mug.
Self deprecating over - I did back Lamely at 330 last night for £20 - probably shouldn't have bothered if you read what I have written above. On the Masters front I have added a small bet of £20 on Couples getting a top 5 at 30/1 (Expekt) - he is playing superb golf this year on both tours and it wasn't that long ago he was 3rd at Augusta.
I really must avoid the Houston Open next week - will have a look at the Sail Open and Kraft Nabisco and probably give the betting bank a rest.
One last thing - at least Aaron Watkins is going well in Louisiana!!
26 March 18.14
Most of the success I have had in the Majors is betting antepost on the run up to each one and I have added another play for the Masters - Heath Slocum £10 ew 400/1 Skybet, £50 635 average and £30 without Woods 250.
26 March 12.17
I am quite looking forward to the next few weeks - hardly any golf - no Seniors,Nationwide and In Europe only Madeira the same week as the Masters leaving just Houston next week. To be honest I could do with a break as I just seem to be tearing my hair out and am just about level for the year - really need a good Masters and hope I can have another good Major. I still don't get why Erics Charm is such a big price for the Grand National!!
25 March 09.34
Well time has run away with me this week with no time to post detailed reasons etc and all I can do is leave you with the last two remaining bets for the week in the Nationwide Chitimachi Louisiana Open - Aaron Watkins £30 ew 60/1 and Scott Brown £10 ew 200/1 and £5 ew 175/1
24 March 15.00
I have a couple of players I want to back for the NW Louisiana Open but will wait for the morning to see who else prices up - in the meantime a couple from left field - in Spain the talented youngster Borja Etchart who won his last two starts in Spain last season and warmed up nicely 2 weeks ago with a top 10 finish - £18 1000, £10 top 10 50/1 and £2 top 10 60/1 + £8 ew 300/1 for round one leader. In the Champions tour I think Lu will go well again but the price is too short - I will take a small bet on Trevor Dodds who makes his tour debut and will like the windy conditions £10 ew 250/1
24 March 11.34
I have been a bit confused about what to do with a bet I had earlier in the week on Stephen Ames (£90 win 50/1 and £40 top 5 10/1 on Betfair) as I am very keen on him this week and really only expected him to be 33/1 tops! Obviously he has a great Florida record and a very good course record and is coming into some very decent form but I read that he only likes the course if its soft not firm so have been waiting to find out all week how it will play. I think the changes to the course will suit his game and thanks to Dave Tindall I found out it will be soft due to a very wet winter. So the bet stands! I also had a small saver on Fowler of £10 ew 70/1 as he has some course form - 7th and 1st as a junior.
23 March 15.18
Adding one further bet for Andalucia - I do fancy Levet and again Peter Lawrie but I don't think backing infrequent winners at odds of 40/1 is going to make me money in the long run so one of them is bound to win. Instead I will invest £25 ew on Havret at 125/1, he has been in the doldrums for some time but there have been definite signs of an improvement over the last few weeks. I still remember fondly how he beat Mickeslon in a playoff at Loch Lomond and is a good closer when he put himself in position.
23 March 11.20
A couple of bets for the Arnold Palmer on two young players who will perform well on the PGA tour at some stage in the future -
Webb Simpson £25 ew 125/1 and £35 win 150
Jamie Lovemark - £50 win 440, £8 top 5 & ties 55/1, £10 top 5 50/1, £20 top 10 & ties 20/1, £20 top 10 23/1
22 March 20.42
Took a couple of days away from things - when you are on a bad run it is sometimes easier just to wave goodbye to the money for the week and try to move on. One thing I do find this year is that most of my returns have been on the big priced outsiders - spotting things that others haven't and I guess over the years that is where my money has been made - then again I don't want to keep analysing and changing strategy as you end up going round in ever decreasing circles.
Anyway - looking at this week in Spain - don't want to get too heavily involved but a player I mentioned last week in running interests me - Christain Nilsson seems to be turning into a regular top 20 player now he has settled down after his maiden tour win. He was a bit rusty last week but finished well and 80/1 was too big in my eyes - £50 ew.
20 March 10.59
Well I can't say that this week has gone particularly well so far with the exception of the main bet of the week Peter Lawrie. Looking through the Transitions updated markets I am going to take a small risk on last weeks winner Derek Lamely who shot through the field last week,who came second the event after winning on his debut on the Nationwide last season and who has said he loves the course - £15 win 550 average, £15 top 5 41/1 and £30 top 10 14/1
18 March 21.21
Morocco is a bit like the Good - Peter Lawrie, the Bad - Michael Hoey so I might as well add the Ugly - C Nilsson - thought about backing him before the off but will add him now he has played well on the tough course £30 85 on Betfair.

17 March 21.50
Finally got some time to sit down and write down my thoughts about this weeks events - starting with Morocco and the Hassan Trophy - the latest pro-am to hit the Euro tour
Peter Lawrie - has been in solid form this year which reads well in what is not the strongest field ever to assemble on the European tour - on the desert swing he was 27th Abu Dhabi and 9th Qatar and his 10th lto was pretty remarkable considering he took a 10 on a par 5. He has course form with a 2nd here a while ago on the Challenge Tour and there is something quite interesting in his form from the last 2 years - in 2008 he was 9th in Asia - came back to Europe and won and last year he was 8th in Asia and then returned and was 3rd - both of these in Spain which has a similar climate to Morocco at this time of the year.
Michael Hoey is difficult to catch right but at 100/1 is worth a poke in a country he has won in before and in 2008 he shot the best final round in the Hassan Trophy to get to 4th so he should have fond memories. All his best form has been in the Spring on whatever tour he has played and he can suddenly turn it on even when in poor form.
Onto the Transitions - you could say the Copperhead Course is definitely a horses for courses place with Choi and Goosen both winning twice and VJ coming 1st and 2nd which led me rapidly to my first pick
John Senden - back to back runner-up places once the event moved to a March slot on the calender played really well last week at Doral - his 11th was his best finish ever on the course so he should come here full of confidence and the early 100/1 was far too big.
George McNeill was also tied for 2nd alongside Senden back in 08 and can throw in two other 2nd place finishes in Florida since then so is clearly at hom ein Florida. With 3 top 5 finishes in his last 9 starts how can he be 100/1?
Bryce Molder - not a lot to say about him apart from the fact he has great form in Florida and has had three consecutive top 10's - he was particularly good over the final two rounds in Puerto Rico .
Will Mackenzie - bit of a pick from left field but I just think he will put in a bold showing back home in Florida - he has said he finds the West Coast swing difficult - he just cannot read the greens and is a poor putter anwyay but he feels at home on the bermuda in Florida as witnessed by his 15th and 12th placed finishes in his last two starts. He has won twice on tour with his second win coming just after becoming a dad - interestingly he has just become a dad again three weeks ago.

17 March 11.07
Well it turns out Imada is a non runner in Florida which is a surprise as he is playing well and done well on the course before - I have found an outsider I like the look of and have had £35 win 340, £10 top 5 40/1, £10 top 5 inc ties 33/1 and £25 top 10 inc ties 18/1 on local lad Will Mackenzie
16 March 12.19
Its all been a bit of a rush the last 24 hours - sorry for no explanations - but still trying to get bets on - more or less there now - Transitions - Imada £50 win110 + £50 top 5 18/1, Hassan - Michael Hoey £25 ew 100/1. Should be back with reasons later today if I can drag myself away from Cheltenham!
15 March 21.37
Even though there are very few prices around for the Transitions I do think sometimes you have to strike early when a price looks wrong - and I will also add Bryce Molder £30 ew 100/1 and £20 110
15 March 18.23
And a couple of early bets for the Transitions on players who will be well supported this week - John Senden £30 ew 100/1 + £20 110 & George McNeil £30 ew 100/1 + £20 115
15 March 16.57
I quite like golf on a Monday - it means the early week is divided with the Euro tour prices on a Monday and US on a Tuesday - sadly though neither Elkington or Austin are close enough!
One early bet for the Hassan Trophy as I think he will be very popular this week - Peter Lawrie £75 ew 40/1 and I got £65 at 55 on betfair early doors - best prices here
14 March 13.42
A quick Sunday update - sadly Reid dropped back to 10th overnight in Australia with a poor final round. In Puerto Rico I guess Johnson isn't out of it - especially with a lot of golf left to play and Elkington is right up there - I have also added Woody Austin who sits at -7 - £50 at 45/1 - he fits the bill of a mid 40's Floridian and is playing well. Kelly has been very disappointing at Doral but looking at the leaders not many of them are trustworthy so I got £30 matched at 100 on Kuchar who is more than capable of going low in round four.
13 March 09.05
They finally got underway in Puerto Rico yesterday and my guess is that this will be a maximum of 54 holes - just hope they get that many played as RS Johnson has made a cracking start. Over in Australia Melissa Reid has worked her way through the field to lie 7th with one round to go and is one shot out of a place. Going out for a family day so will be interesting to see what the Puerto Rico scoreboard looks like on my return.
11 March 21.11
A great shame that the course in Puerto Rico got hit by a torrential downpour today but I think the next few days look OK. Kelly has made a solid start in Florida and someone was keen to lay him before the off at much bigger prices so I now have £100 at 175 average and will be quite happy to lay back for a decent free bet. At this time of the year I like to keep one eye on the Masters and players going well and whilst O'Hair has been dogged by injury - offering 130 is just madness and I snapped up the £59 up for grabs.
Over in Aus Melissa Reid left her current form behind with a decent round.
I have been doing a lot of work on HBI this week where we have changed emphasis to the big bets after we some research into results for the past year and the start to the new plan has been brilliant with two £400 winners at 9/4 and 7/2 - happy days!!!
10 March 14.01
I have looked at the two "smaller" events this week and have come up with a small bet in the Womens Australian Open - Melissa Reid has not played well so far this season but she has been 3rd in each of the last two years in this and has a top 5 strike rate of around 25% so a small dabble of £10 ew 80/1 and £30 top 5 16/1
9 March 14.59
My initial thoughts on Puerto Rico this week were to back Molder and Durant but I had to change my mind when I saw the prices - Molder is 20/1 favourite having never won a PGA tour event and Durant is simply too short at 33/1 - maybe Mayakoba was a flash in the pan?? - I was lucky to get £20 at 60 on Sunday but will leave it at that. The two winners of this event so far show similar traits - both in their 40's with strong links to Florida - Bradley and Kraft were big odds when they won. Interestingly they also have a good record at Doral - whether there are course similarities or whether its the time of year - or even psychological that its played alongside the WGC event who knows!! I guess its the reason I liked Durant as he fitted the profile but instead I have had to look elsewhere. One Florida player who is the right age is Rocco Mediate who played well for two rounds last year before fading at the weekend - he likes the course and will love the hot and humid weather which should keep his ailments at bay - at the price I will take a risk - £10 ew 150/1, £20 win 150, £15 top 5 33/1, £30 top 10 14/1 & £10 ew rd 1 125/1.
The other player in his 40's with good Doral form is Elkington but he hasn't really impressed in recent years but at 90 is worth a small £25 saver.
When going down the list looking at players who I feel are maybe overpriced I stopped at RS Johnson - why is he so much bigger in price than a lot of others? At least he has won a PGA tour event (more than can be said of most) and has made every 36 hole cut so far this season including a 4th in Mexico two starts ago. I think he realises he has to have a good year this season as his exemption runs out and it will be in these poorer events he will stand a greater chance. He is quite a talented player when on song - as witnessed by his 8th at the Open last year and in this field his price is simply too big - £50 ew 66/1 and £50 85 win.
8 March 17.59
Had a look through the field for the CA Championship and to be honest didn't expect to find any value in the 68 man field but I did think Jerry Kelly was interesting at a few big prices
£35 win 140 Betfair
£10 ew 125/1
£20 top 5 25/1
£50 top 10 10/1
£20 ew top Yank 50/1
8 March 15.07
Chien Soon Lu held on for a top 5 finish - it looked touch and go for a while but he managed to birdie 3 of the last 4 holes to finish 3rd and earn a full place payout. Sadly Avatar was beaten in the Best Picture Oscar market - the 9/1 odds were clearly wrong a few months ago and maybe I should have laid back at around evens - at least the £60 stake. Looking at this weeks golf - I have a feeling things might be quite quiet.
6 March 17.04
A quick update - well Points and Klauk were simply awful - last years course form seems to have been largely thrown out of the window but Gillis I suppose still has an outside chance. As for other bets - well the best hope is for 150/1 shot Chien Soon-Lu who is tied for the lead after the first round of the Toshiba Classic.
I started looking at the Grand National this week and had my first bet today - after Erics Charm won his race I got £20 ew 100/1 - he seems to tick all the boxes.
3 March 12.23
The Honda Classic has an interesting "feel" to it this year - looking at the top of the market you would think it was a peak season event on European soil and I do feel for what they have achieved on US soil the head of the field is worth taking on. This event has also been the scene of many PGA debut wins over the years so I am not afraid to pick four players who are winless on tour to date. The course was originally designed by Tom Fazio but revamped by Nicklaus and now is one of the toughest on tour so look out for players who enjoy a tough test rather than a birdie fest.
D.A Points - Was impressed by him at Torrey Pines when he finished 9th and shot rounds of 65/74/71 on the South course. Not too worried about his next start as his wife was being induced on the Monday and he was rather keen to get home to Florida to witness the birth of his first child and last week was his first trip away so an m/c on a course he hasn't played well before was hardly a surprise. I tipped him up playing at home last year in the Childrens Miracle where he finished 7th and he was also 9th in this last year plus his last win on the Nationwide Tour came in Florida - clearly he likes playing at home. He admitted last year he lost focus after securing his card with a top 3 finish at the Byron Nelson but is determined to go for a win this season. He also has a superb record on Tom Fazio designed courses - 10th in this event on the Mirasol course (when bang out of form), 2nd and 3rd at the Glen Club and 2nd at Myrtle Beach - all in all it adds up to a rather large bet!
Jeff Klauk was 4th here last year and has always maintained the tougher the course the better his results are. He recorded two other top four finishes last season as well and I wouldn't be surprised to see him shake off a couple of poor performances now back home in Florida.
Tom Gillis has turned into a model of consistency since winning on the Nationwide Tour last June and in 15 appearances has turned in 8 top 10 finishes including Pebble beach. The 200/1 each way was too big to resist especially as he does have some recent form on the course when playing it on the Gateway Tour.
Chad Collins is a bit like Gillis - very consistent on the Nationwide Tour (including a win in Florida) and he has carried that over to the main tour - all five cuts made including 4th Mayakoba and 10th Bob Hope
3 March 10.57
A quick post about Malaysia - not a lot gets me interested about the event - the course has changed a lot since it was played in 2006 and initially the only player that interested me was Horsey (was lucky enough to get £15 matched at 65 on Sunday night) but his general odds are too low. One interesting player is Arjun Atwal - has teed it up in Malaysia just twice in recent years - 2003 and 2008 - in the Malaysian Open and won both times - worth £25 at the Betfair odds of 150.
3 March 09.46
A few further bets for this week are listed below - will be back later today with thoughts and reasonings for selections
Honda - round 1 leader - Wi £12 ew 80/1,MAckenzie £8 ew 125/1
Bogota Open - Peter Gustafsson £16 ew 45/1
ANZ Ladies Masters - Kristie Smith £25 ew 80/1
2 March 15.02
Well I already have a return for my money as Ben Crane has withdrawn - my other bet for the Honda is Chad Collins - £40 win 160,£10 top 5 24/1,£20 top 6 22/1,£30 top 10 11/1.
I also have a small bet on the Champions tour Toshiba event - Chien Soon-Lu £10 ew 150/1 + £20 top 5 25/1
2 March 10.00
Right then - two bets to go for the Honda - will leave one til a bit later but will reveal my biggie for the week - actually could be one of the bigger ones of the year - everything Points to D.A this week!
£150 win 160 average
£50 top 5 26/1
£10 top 6 25/1
£40 top 10 13/1
1 March 21.22
A couple of early bets for the Honda which heralds the start of the east coast swing. I do think there is going to be a large amount of value here as all the "favourites" are way too short for what they have achieved on the PGA tour in my opinion.
Ben Crane £50 ew 50/1 + £20 50 Betfair
Jeff Klauk £20 ew 150/1 + £15 150 Betfair
Tom Gillis £20 ew 200/1 + £15 200 Betfair
I do have 2 more bets lined up including the best one of the week but they can wait til tomorrow
28 February 21.30
Following the golf from Phoenix - had a couple of small bets in running - including a bit on Yang who has just joined the lead - but what interests me is his price for the Masters - as a Major winner last year 150/1 Ladbrokes really stands out - £40 ew 150/1 and £15 around 150 on the Fair without Woods
26 February 21.49
Just about over the Mancuso debacle - just one of those really unfortunate bizarre things that happens,hard to swallow when money is on the line but just think how Julie Mancuso feels - puts things into perspective!
Looking at Phoenix - nice to see Moulder and Rollins getting in the mix - had £35 at 70 on Gay once he started making a move today - more my sort of price for him!
24 February 21.43
I will save what I think of Mancuso in the Olympics until after the second run is finished although you can rest assured I am seething!
Looking at the Panama event on the Nationiwde tourI will have one pick - Patrick Sheehan. He was poor in his two starts on the other side of the globe missing both cuts though I am not too worried by that as he won on this tour last season having missed his previous two cuts. His only start here resulted in a second place in 2007 and his solid all round game is well suited to the course - £15 ew 80/1 and £10 ew 70/1.
I have had one other small bet on Betfair for the Phoenix - Andres Romero finished in the top five last time out and as a winner on the PGA tour shouldn't be 160/1 - £20
24 February 14.43
I was amazed how efficient at Skybets' customer service was this week - on Sunday night I won £2500 on Vanegas (£10 ew 200/1) and this morning I got the letter saying I could no longer phone bets through but would have to make do with poxy internet limits - a very quick turnaround indeed lol

23 February 14.21
Final bet for me for Phoenix - glutton for punishment - is Ricky Barnes (Double Trouble will be pleased lol). He disappointed at Pebble Beach but I won't give up him quite yet - the Scottsdale resident has played here only the once back in 04 when as a newly turned pro he was 4th going into the final round before stumbling a bit. His 10th at Riviera really was a good finish and I expect him to play well again - £15 top 5 28/1 and £30 top 10 14/1 including ties + £45 260 on Betfair. For the record I did get a few quid matched on players on Sunday whilst the final round took place at Mayakoba Stadler £17 350, Beckman £7 330.
I did a quick P&L for the year this morning - funny how I only feel like doing it after a winner!! - profit stands at £1415 for the year so definitely could do better - time to start work on the Nationwide Panama event - maybe some prices by tomorrow!

23 February 09.36
Woke up this morning to see how the Australian books had priced up Phoenix and was rather pleased to see Jonathan Byrd at 125/1 and duly had £40 ew - already took 140 on Betfair yesterday for £40 as well. He has been quietly progressive this season and can boast some decent course form - 7th in 06 and 2nd in 08 going into the final round. He had a couple of top five finishes last season and I think the 66/1 with a lot of books is more accurate.
22 February 21.17
Still got some more bets to put on for Phoenix but waiting to get matched so a few thoughts on bets so far. Brian Gay was top of my list this week but just couldn't pull the trigger at 40/1 (and even that is going quick) - I thought he had a huge chance in Hawaii at the Sony when 50/1 and he disappointed so I just can't bet him at the price - maybe in running!
John Rollins has some really good course form round Scottsdale including a runner-up slot in 07 and has been playing solid golf all season - he just needs to get a few more putts to drop and at 66/1 is worth a bet.
I think sometimes people have short memories - Bryce Molder was bang up there at Pebble Beach before he became one of the famous three to run up a nine on the back nine and to be honest he did well to par in and finish 10th. Last year he tended to maintain his form when he hit it and finished 4th at Congressional and 2nd at Southwind plus a 6th at nearby Grayhawk. That last finish wasn't a huge surprise as he knows the area well being a Scottsdale resident - 125/1 just seems a little on the big side to me.
22 February 19.18
Second bet for Phoenix goes to Bryce Molder - £20 ew 125/1 ,£25 top 5 25/1 and £10 on the 140 Betfair
22 February 18.14
Spent all day looking at the Phoenix form and have a short list of six to concentrate on but have made an early bet on one - John Rollins - the 66/1 at Ladbrokes is unlikely to last - £40 ew and £25 win 80 Betfair
21 February 22.59
A better day today - Vanegas wins convincingly in Columbia and Hayes by bogeying the last proves the beauty of betting with Extrabet where ties are paid in full finishing in a five way tie for 4th.
20 February 23.47
Big day tomorrow in the scheme of things - 200/1 shot Vanegas leads in Colombia - I actually learnt today that its his home club so will have lots of support - hopefully the pressure won't get to him. In the US Hayes retains his position and after a shaky start got back to within two of the lead to share second place - will find a few things to keep me busy during the day lol
19 February 23.24
Apologies for the quick post earlier re Mancuso but basically US skiers are having a great games and I had a look at the Womens GS - I think there could be a huge rick - Mancuso has won silver in downhill and combined so far - events tbh she hasn't performed well in of late - interestingly she is defending Olympic champion in the GS - an event again she hasn't done much in recently - but she has to be worth an interest at the prices - quite amusing how I had to spread the bets - but thems the limits lol
Bet365 £3 win 80/1 £8 top 3 30/1
Sportingbet £3 win 66/1
William Hill £4 win 50/1 £13 top 3 16/1
Boyles £10 ew 50/1
Betdaq £23 win 60/1
Talk about pathetic limits - so much for being one of the biggest betting events of the year!!
Anyway - looking at the golf - looking interesting at half way with JP Hayes sitting 2nd and tbh all the expected suspects are up there and in Colombia 200/1 shot Vanegas is 3rd just one shot back.
19 February 16.25
Quick post - I think books have made a mistake in the womens Giant Slalom on Julia Mancuso - take anything over 25/1 - more later
19 February 12.37
I was right to take on Vonn as she crashed out in the slalom - sadly so did Goergl but Mancuso managed silver again - she really is back to her best. In todays mens Super G I will take a risk on Michael Walchhofer - le leads the World Cup Super G rankings with finishes of 3/1/13/2 this season and have had £25 win 23/1 Betfair and £40 podium 5/1 Bwin
18 February 11.48
You would have thought with it being the Olympics books would be able to lay bigger bets than run of the mill skiing events - sadly not! Was also rather shocked to try and bet a skier on the phone with Betfred at their internet price of 16/1 but was only offered 10/1!
Anyway mini rant over - Womens Super Combined - would like to take on Vonn who might struggle with the slalom side with so little rest after the Downhill - will oppose her with the silver and bronze medalists from yesterday - if Mancuso is back to her best then she could challenge for gold - managed to get £10 win 25/1 and £35 podium 5/1. Also quite like Goergl who has been 3rd and 4th in the 2 World Cup SC's this season and won bronze at the World Ski Champs - £10 win 16/1 + £40 podium at Hills 11/4
17 February 21.37
Just noticed Stan James are late up with Colombia and go some big prices on the 4 I came out with Vanegas 200,Pinedo 150,BArbetti 125 and Amaya 100 - basically these 4 players were 3rd,4th,t5th,t5th in this event over this course last year.
17 February 13.45
Another quick five minutes grabbed - Allianz Championship - as it seems to be the year of the defending champion I think Mike Goodes is overpriced - especially as he has been 6th and 4th in the first two Champions events - £25 win 40/1 £50 7/1 top 5 and ties

16 February 18.17
For various reasons - internet problems - half term and kids home! have not had chance to write anything here so a quick post detailing bets so far this week
Mayakoba
Was lucky enough to get £20 matched at average Kev Stadler at 55 on Sunday night but wouldn't bet him at less than 40 tbh
J.P Hayes £20 ew 66/1, £100 win 65 Betfair, £50 top 5 ad ties 9/1 Extrabet
Challenge Tour Colombia
Amaya £15 ew 125/1
Barbetti £15 ew 125/1
Pinedo £15 ew 125/1
Vanegas £10 ew 200/1

14 February 10.53
Its Sunday and with no hope in any golf and the Winter Olympics skiing on hold life is dull and depressing - add to that Dodt wins in India - I had him as a similar profile to Prugh - couldn't back him at bookmaker odds but Betfair offered a bit of value considering current form - as is the way at the moment I backed one of them - Prugh!
So - have I geven the kiss of death to anyone in the AT&T - sadly yes and its probably a golfer who doesn't really need the kiss of death to make a mess of things - Greg Owen. He has been 3rd and 4th here before - in 07 he was in a very similar position to what he is now and it is interesting that in both times he placed he had no chance of winning being too far back from the leaders - so the top 5 on Betfair seems big at 17/1 - £35.
Next week looks like being pretty quiet to me (probably a good thing) as I hate betting in the World Matchplay Lottery Rollover - lets hope I find the winner of Mayakoba again!
13 February 22.58
Well it looks like being another crappy week on the golf - on the plus side Peoples provided a return by not bothering to start!! I have looked at the Avantha and it looks absolutely wide open with any number of possible winners - yet most are non winners. I cannot resist a small £25 at 42 on Thaworn Wiratchant who is a seasoned winner and indeed a co-sanctioned winner (sorry Mr Coleman - hope you aren't on!!)
12 February 12.09
Glad I went early for Dixon as he finished 2nd again in the Downhill training (although Cuche was DQ with a faster time having missed a gate) and I have added another Canadian as I am sure they will hold a massive advantage so £20 ew Erik Guay at 25/1.
The golf has again been poor and this game can be really cruel - backed Sung Lee to be first round leader yet in todays second round he shoots a joint lowest -7 - decided to have £25 on at average 110 in running as he was 2nd here in October.
10 February 22.33
Time for a bet in the WInter Olympics - Mens Downhill - first training run completed and no surprise to see Cuche lead and they might struggle with further training runs due to the weather so I will go with a guy with a huge amount of local knowledge on his local hill who has just finished 2nd in training - £20 ew 33/1 Robbie Dixon (Boyles,VC)
10 February 21.22
Not had too much spare ttime this week to write much up about bets - a few quick words - Prugh has had a fantastic Californina "swing" and he just seems a big price on Betfair and I have to have a small dabble on Peoples on his Champions tour debut in his own Florida backyard - Coral have actually gone 66/1 but I won't risk any more money.
My main interest revolves around Ricky Barnes - probably best known for his capitulation in last years US Open - although we have to remember he finished 2nd in a Major. For the rest of the season he did the square root of diddly squat but this season has seen him buckle down and make every cut with an improved performance every time culminating in last weeks 9th place. This is the area of Northern California where he grew up and interestingly his first taste of PGA golf came here in 2000 in the US Open and he has played this event plenty of times since plus a lot of his best performances on the Nationwide Tour came in his home state. His performances this year have seen a massive improvement on courses he hasn't done well on before so I really do think he will go well this week.
10 February 12.25
A quick post with the remaining bets for my week - will be back later with further thoughts and ramblings on them
AT&T - Alex Prugh £35 win 90 Betfair
Avantha - rd 1 leader - Muniyappa £15 ew 100/1,U Park £10 ew 150/1,Sung Lee £10 ew 150/1
Ace Classic - David Peoples £20 ew 60/1
9 February 15.37
I'd better put up my other outright bet for India as Bettingzone have also gone for him - Mukesh Kumar romped home last week in India and has some solid course form - £20 win 140 Betfair + £10 top 5 25/1 £20 top 10 10/1 & ties Extrabet

9 February 11.51
Adding to Jason Bohn in the AT & T is my biggest bet of the week - Ricky Barnes who I think is way overpriced - more reasons later but I have had
£100 win average 130 Betfair
£15 ew 125/1
£10 ew 110/1
£35 top 5 25/1
£35 top 10 10/1

9 February 11.19
I will probably curse my hesitation on Sunday night in not backing Bhullar when someone put up £80 at 50/55 on Betfair but I simply cannot back him at less than 40/1 so there is this weeks winner! Instead I will go for another promising young Indian player Anirban Lahiri who was runner up to Bhullar here in September and then was a fast finishing 3rd also on this course in the Asian event a month later - I got £25 ew at 100/1 and £10 win 110 - I have a few more plays in mind for India but will wait til I see the tee times.
8 February 20.54
JB Holmes brought some respite from the pain last week by finishing in the top 5 - shame Stan James wouldn't let me have the size of bet I wanted. I have one early bet for the AT &T this week on someone who I think will be cut - Jason Bohn was impressive for three rounds last week and could be said to have fond memories of Pebble Beach as he won the Callaway Beach Invitational back in 06 - £35 ew 125/1 and £35 average 165 on Betfair. I do have a few more to go this week but am waiting to get matched.
5 February 17.49
I think Jeev Singh is being very underestimated and have had another £30 at 75 - he was plagued by injuries last season which he has now recovered from and the trajedy of his wifes miscarriage has been somewhat eased with the birth of his first son last month
5 February 15.32
Its not been the best of starts to the golf this week (again!) but having just done my profit and loss for January all is not doom and gloom as I am only £80 down on the year thanks to Keith Horne and one good round!! I will try and put all my bets on here though sometimes I fail due to time restraints - this week I did have £25 on Kendall for a top 5 at 32 on Betfair just before the off and in Dubai I have added a couple of players after round two who are both on -4 - McDowell £20 50 on Betfair and Jeev Singh - £30 ew 50/1 1/5 4 and £10 65 plus in the Northern Trust a speculative £20 ew 125/1 on the veteran Michael Allen
3 February 11.38
An interesting bet for me in this weeks Moonah Classic is Martin Piller who played well on his seasonal debut last week when 7th in NZ on a course where he was 2nd last year. Interestingly he was 8th here on the tricky Moonah course and his game does seem suited to it - last week he was 5th for DA and 1st for GIR. His other top performance last year came at Stonebrae - a windy exposed course - maybe the Texan is bred to deal with these conditions! One other point - if you are looking for possible inspirational factors for Piller - last week his college room mate (and I believe travelling room mate) Robert Gates won on his Nationwide bow!! £50 ew 50/1 at all the Aussie books.
2 February 22.20
A few thoughts on Dubai - Bjorn in his prime loved Dubai and it showed in his results - having shown some form last week I wouldn't be surprised to see him go well this week but he is most likely to get off to a fast start. Donaldson had a good start to the season but was blown away by the wind in round one last week - he has gone well in round one before in Dubai with a 1st and 3rd so this is probably the best market to play in. As for Scott Strange - I have been trying to find out why he hasn't played the last two weeks to no avail so will take a punt that he is fit and ready to go - 7th on his first appearance here last season he can go well fresh - winning on his Asian tour debut in 05,7th Abu Dhabi 08 debut and his win in China last season came after a seven week break.
2 February 18.07
And adding a few more bets for Dubai - firstly round 1 leader - Jamie Donaldson £15 ew 125/1 and Thomas Bjorn - £6 ew 80/1 and £25 80 on Betfair - with Bjorn I have laso had a little £15 win at 140 Betfair as well. Plus on the outright - Scott Strange £45 win 110
2 February 12.10
A couple more picks for the Northern Trust both of whom have got good form at Riviera - KJ Choi - caught my eye last week - was the best player on show tee to green but struggled on the poor putting surfaces - was surprised to see 55 on Betfair yesterday and snapped up £100 and have just added £50 on a top 5 at 9/1. JB Holmes made a belated seasonal reappearance last week and played OK - although I am not a great fan the 125/1 at Stan James is too big - sadly max bet for me is £10 ew - would have liked to have doubled it but won't take any less.
1 February 20.53
One player who is bound to be popular this week is Charles Howell III who has started this season in great form and has superb course form including a win - if you can snap up any 50/1 do it tonight - I managed to get £40 ew and £25 at 50 on Betfair earlier
1 February 14.34
Sometimes I see a price and keep looking at it thinking its very wrong and I do think Dyson in Dubai is such a price - warming up slowly this season but he has a very good long term record at the Emirates course and clearly the books have forgotten his two wins in the second half of last season £60 ew 66/1 and £50 win 70 Betfair
31 January 11.38
The few picks I have had this week have been by and large very poor - Rollins was frustrating yesterday having got into the fringes of contention and I have just had £40 on Howell III to finish top 5 at 17/1 Betfair which I think is a bit big. My week has been saved by trading the New Zealand Open in running for a profit of £380 but hope Rollins or Howell can nick a place and its back to the drawing board for next week. On a plus note HBI maintained its profitable run - 11 months on the bounce now having recovered from a large deficit in January to just finish in profit.
27 January 14.19
Right then - reasonings behind this weeks selections. First of all - John Rollins - last year before the Reno-Tahoe Open he was top of my list - coming into form and with great course form ( he had been second the year before) - however I wavered thinking 33/1 was maybe a bit skinny and he duly won so I promised myself I wouldn't let that happen again with him. He had a pretty good finish at the SBS ending up in mid division and then improved with every round at the Sony before swerving the Hope which is probably a blessing. He was 2nd here at Torrey Pines last season when out of form,was 4th in 2006 and 8th in 2002 and from the horses mouth he clearly likes it here -
"Yeah, I like this place. Like I said, it's either kind of all or nothing for me here. I just like the way the golf course sets up. A lot of the tee shots, they fit my eye and the way I like to shape the ball. You know coming in here that typically the scores aren't going to be really low, and I like that kind of golf. I like courses where you don't have to go out and shoot 25- and 30-under par. I like it to where it's a premium on hitting the ball in the fairway. You know, if you get out and shoot a couple under par, then you've played a good round of golf, and that's what the South Course gives you here.
Other than just fitting my eye and being comfortable with what the golf course is, I just enjoy playing here."
I might have another look at the event at the cut when players have played both courses and the evidence of the heavy rain they have had is there to see.
Moving onto Qatar - I was interested in backing Anders Hansen again but at the price I will have to pass and settled mainly for Ross McGowan. He played some really impressive golf towards the end of last season including his win in Madrid and 2nd in Dubai and he caught my eye last week when 27th as he had missed both previous cuts in Abu Dhabi and he has more rock solid form in Qatar. He has been playing a lot out in Dubai this month with Rory McIlroy with new clubs and he said last week " I'm now in Abu Dhabi and looking forward to the week - the course is set up very tough in comparison to previous years so I think it will be a really good test of golf. After that it's on to Qatar and I love the course there so am hoping for a good week in Doha "
My other main pick is Paul Broadhurst who has a lot of good rounds under his belt on the Doha course (best finish being 2nd in 2006) and he often gets off to a quick start round here. He started off the season well in Joburg and whilst I don't think he will be able to sustain a challenge and win in the markets I have picked he could reward support. It looks like the late starters might get a break with the weather with the wind dying down though that remains to be seen and I have had a little bet on round one leader to be Richard Green at 66/1 - a bit like Broadhurst he plays the same courses well year in year out - sadly I was only allowed £5 ew but wouldn't want to take a lower price.
26 January 18.21
First bet for the New Zealand Open goes to veteran Craig Parry who simply loves The Hills course - much in evidence by the fact that he has been 4th in both appearances. He likes going back to NZ where he won the NZ Open in 02 on a different course and whilst he is getting on a bit he has a good record in these co-sanctioned events and it was only just over two years ago that he won the Australian Open - the 50/1 at Aussie Sportingbet is a bit big and I have had £40 ew.
26 January 15.12
Another quick post - for the Farmers Insurance take any 40/1 you can get on what will be this weeks "steamer" John Rollins - had £30 ew and then £100 at average of 45 on the exchanges
26 January 13.13
A bit pushed for time today with the delay on the PGA tour and prices only just coming out for that plus the NZ Open starts in a little over 24 hours! so just quickly the picks for Qatar
Ross McGowan £50 ew 80/1 + £20 win 85 Betfair
Paul Broadhurst £10 ew 200/1 & £2.75 ew 175/1 Rd 1 leader + £20 ew 55/1 Top English + £10 win 310 Betfair
24 January 15.17
Although this week has been profitable it has been very frustrating and very much a case of what could have been with Horne tying for the first round lead,then Michael Hendry finishing tied 10th in New Zealand (huge profit of £5 there lol!), then today Hansen and Oosthuizen just came up shy. There are still two rounds to go in the Bob Hope and the plays on McNeill and Ogilvie are still in with a shout and I have added two more small bets on players who are playing the Palmer course for both rounds - Palmer £20 65 and Dufner £10 150 on Betfair.
23 January 13.56
Kiss of death from me to Richard Finch as he bombed out today and Horne has tumbled rapidly down the leaderboard whilst Anders Hansen has moved the right way and has a squeak of a place. I have had a bet on new dad Louis Oosthuizen who fired a round of 64 on Sunday last year to finish 2nd and if he can do so again he could get in the mix - £20 ew 100/1 !/5 3 and £5 Betfair 200.
22 January 17.09
A quick bet in Abu Dhabi at the cut before I head out for the evening - Richard Finch was 4th here in 08 (he can also boast a 4th in Qatar in 06) so can clearly play in the desert - he currently sits at -7 and there is a bit of value in the top 5 and ties price at Extrabet at 16/1 so have had £25 + £10 win 280 Betfair
22 January 14.07
Nothing doing on the skiing front with Heel finishing well down the pack - I think its time to back off on the skiing (apart from the Olympics) as the same pattern is emerging as in previous seasons - I seem to do well early doors - finding value as the form settles down but then mistakes are few and far between.
On the golf front - hopefully the Bob Hope will continue as planned today and I have had a small bet on Betfair on Joe Ogilvie who shot a great first round.has been 2nd here before and played well in the poor last round conditions when Hoffman won shooting the lowest round - £25 50 Betfair
21 January 21.32
Stop press - train carries on with journey - woohoo Keith Horne ties for lead in Abu Dhabi. It was a sweaty few moments after Poulter holed a 70 footer on his last hole for birdie to get to -7 and Bland also got to that number, Horne got to -7 with 4 to play and in the end had to hole a 12 footer at the last for the par and tie resulting in a £1620 payday. I hope that he continues the good form and maybe some of the other markets I bet him in come to fruition.
Onto tomorrows action and we have the mens Super G from Kitzbuehl and I do think Werner Heel is overpriced - on his return from injury last week he was 4th in the Downhill in Wengen and as he won two World Cup Super Gs last season I don't really get the price - £20 22/1 and £30 21/4 podium - William Hill
20 January 21.04
At the moment I could stop a train - Martin Laird off to a shocker in the Bob Hope. What really annoys me is that I had three players on my list - one of them was Heath Slocum but I was so annoyed with Extrabet who opened 125 then went 100 - everytime I tried to bet they cut the odds - much like they did with Laird - incredibly frustrating and not very ethical in my opinion - and it annoyed me so much that I ended up not backing Slocum so there's your winner this week! As an aside the other one of my list was George McNeill and seeing Slocum getting off to a flyer I had to have £25 at 100 on Betfair - and sure enough he is off to a good start as well!!
20 January 14.23
I had a couple of hours free and had a look at the New Zealand PGA Championship and believe I have spotted a bit of a rick from the Australian books that have priced this up - Centrebet and Sportingbet - in the shape of Kiwi Michael Hendry. He was the runaway winner of the NZ order of merit last year with numerous wins and seems to have transferred that form onto the Australian tour in the smaller events. Before Christmas he was 3rd in the Western Australian Open, 3rd Queensland PGA, and 5th in the New South Wales PGA. He then came out this year in the Victorian Open and finished 9th. Whilst this is a stronger event he really shouldn't be 150/1 - have had £25 ew and £25 top 10 12/1.
20 January 10.45
Back to Abu Dhabi and my only other play of the week is on Keith Horne who had probably his best ever finish last week when 2nd in Joburg and returns to Abu Dhabi for the first time since he played in the inaugural one in 2006 when he led by two shots after round one. With positive memories and in solid form I have backed him small in a variety of markets - really surprised he is not bigger on Betfair.
Outright - £7.50 ew 225/1
Top ROW - £16 ew 45/1
Top 10 & ties - £25 18/1
Rd 1 leader - £2.50 ew 200/1, £12.50 ew 150/1,£5 150
19 January 18.15
With the weather forecast looking poor and with 4 courses in the rotation there seems little point in getting further involved with the Bob Hope. As far as Martin Laird is concerned he is a great young prospect - he won his maiden event on the wide resort fairways of Summerlin where past Bob Hope winners Trahan,Campbell and Hoffman also have a great record. He has already shown some good form in the SBS - when 4th and being top rookie on the course and sensibly swerved the Sony which would not have suited his game. He has played the Hope twice and made the cut both times but he is a much better player now and in 09 it was the only cut he made in a 10 tournament stint - it is always worth noting when a player makes a cut at a venue when he is playing poorly.
Looking at Abu Dhabi - basically it will probably be won by one of the market leaders but its hardly worth backing them all to find out which one. I have one player I want to back in a few specialist markets but more of that tomorrow - in the meantime I do think Anders Hansen is a big price - he was 14/1 last week and missed the cut as defending champion so he has been pushed right out. When you look at last week he missed the cut on the mark with a double bogey at his last hole (maybe he didn't fancy hanging around for the weekend!). It was clear he was rusty with the putter having struggled to play any golf over the Christmas period in a frozen Europe so maybe it wasn't such a great shock. As a winner of two PGA titles at Wentworth he can clearly win a big event, and towards the end of last season was 2nd in the Mercedes,5th in Singapore and back to back 3rds in South Africa - hardly the form that merits quotes of 95 on Betfair (£40) or 14/1 the top 5 (£60).
18 January 21.11
Have spent a long day going over and over the Bob Hope with a fine tooth comb - especially as it starts Wednesday and this weeks big wallet buster is Martin Laird - more on why tomorrow (though it isn't rocket science!)
£20 ew 45/1
£80 ew 40/1
£75 win 44 Betfair
18 January 09.31
Feel free to hammer Centrebet on their 100/20 quote for Alvaro Quiros in Abu Dhabi - I was allowed £1 and £3 and will be closing my account!!
16 January 19.56
Not a great day on the skiing with neither man troubling the judge and in South Africa Otto has gone really well - sadly Schwatrzel has gone a damn site better and the win only bet on Otto looks stuffed and he will probably finish top 5 knowing my recent luck!
Looking at Hawaii - a long way to go for Gay and his steady driving seems to have deserted him but looking at the leaderboard people seem happy to lay past champion Goydos who was slow to get into stride yet shot a 63 yesterday and often goes low back to back so £45 90 on Betfair pour moi
14 January 20.27
Quick word of warning about tomorrows Super Combined - Peter Fill does not take part so don't bet him on Betfair who will not refund stakes on non participants.
14 January 13.00
Following the training runs for the downhill in Wengen this week and it is interesting to see Andrej Jerman fastest in final training - the last time he did that was Bormio 2 weeks ago and he went on to win the race - £30 10/1 Hills. The other one I have spotted is Peter Fill who has returned from injury this week and always goes well at Wengen - keen to make up for lost time I have had £20 at 14/1 for the Downhill and £20 15/1 for the Super Combined which takes place tomorrow
13 January 21.39
Managed to get a few quid on my final selection - Matthew Carvell in the Joburg Open. The young lad from Johannesburg has just turned pro having just finished playing college golf in the States and qualified for his local tour event by winning the qualifier shooting -4 on the West Course. That probably wouldn't be quite enough to tempt me but in his last amateur event the Central Gauteng Open in November he won by 8 shots - he opened with a 78 in difficult conditions and then shot 64,69,66 - all played on this weeks host East course. A tall order but worth a few quid - allowed £10 50/1 top 10 so took another £10 42 on Betfair,£10 100 top 5 Betfair and added £50 at 1000 for trading should he surprise all!!
13 January 15.29
OK quick list of reasons - Murless I guess is obvious with his good course form,Siem is a player who should win more often than he does and I am a bit worried how he will play with the new grooves considering his wayward driving but his win at Houghton was on a very similar track and he was much improved towards the end of last season. Otto is very much hit or miss but he has a great record round here - winning as an amateur,finishing 3rd in the inaugural Joburg Open and in 08 he qualified for the Open playing here in IFQ so he has plenty of fond memories. At least he has won at this level in Italy and won in November in Namibia - 190 just seems too big. I do have one other but am still waiting to get matched.
13 January 10.01
Glad I got in early on Gay!! Anyway - onto Joburg - I have been over and over the field and to be honest no bookmaker prices interest me but I have bet three players on Betfair - more on why a bit later as I am busy looking at the skiing.
Otto £35 190
Siem £25 160
Murless £15 250
11 January 21.20
Right then the reasons for Gay - first of all he finally won a PGA event in 2008 and then last year was one of only seven players to win twice on tour. The Sony has been won in recent years by players who have already blown away the cobwebs at Kapalua,who are multiple winners on tour and who are basically short but accurate - Gay fits the bill there. He has pretty good course form - his best when 5th last season having made his first appearance at Kapalua - an interesting quote from him -
"I've always loved coming to this golf course, but I've really never been ready. I thought it would be good this year coming over a week early and playing on Maui, and hopefully that's going to happen. It did today...I got a Top-10 here once, and I had some okay tournaments here. I've always been kind of close, and I always felt like I could do well here. But like I said, I've never really been ready because I don't play a lot of golf in the off-season. You've really got to take the time to get away and get ready for the season. I was looking forward to obviously playing in Maui, anyways, but I thought it was also going to really help me here this week....there's no comparison between here and Kapalua. Kapalua is long and wide open, big, slopey greens, and this course is much tougher to hit fairways. Accuracy is a lot more important here."
That leads me onto his form last week where he was 1st for DA,3rd for scrambling and 2nd for putts per round - all the things he needs for this week and he has always putted well at Waialae. All in all it adds up to a potentially big week for Gay and the 50/1 is just too big.
11 January 18.40
After much soul searching and going over and over my results and the PGA tour results I can offer up a bet for the Sony Open in Hawaii - will post a detailed explanation later - Brian Gay £110 ew 50/1 and £80 @ 60 on Betfair
10 January 11.00
Been quiet and buried my head in research for the last few days - as well as being buried in by the snow! Trying to avoid betting whilst I get things clear in my head but just noticed Skybet are betting on Laird to make the Ryder Cup - if he carries on like he is this week he could get in via the wrold points list and 25/1 could be generous so have had £40
8 January 22.40
Well what a crap start to the golfing year as both players in South Africa miss the cut - something somewhere has gone dreadfully wrong over the last 18 months - I think trying to look smart has left me looking stupid.
6 January 14.15
Not often I get caught out when someone goes a bigger price but Stan James have gone 45/1 Van den Berg for the top ROW so have added another £20 ew.
I have been looking at the weather forecast which says it should be windy and testing - much like last years final round and the man who shot the lowest round was Mark Murless with an impressive 64 to finish 7th. On closer examination of his form in 2007 and 2008 he played in the co-sanctioned Joburg Open at the beginning of each year - in 08 he led after rounds1,2 and 3 before finishing 5th and in 07 was 2nd after round 1 and held onto 4th. On this basis I have had a number of small bets
£2 ew 300/1 1/4 5 Tote
£35 win 290 Betfair
£11 top 10 28/1 Tote
£25 top 10 22/1 Extrabet
£2.50 ew rd 1 leader 200/1 Bet365 & £10 ew 175/1 Stan James
£10 ew top ROW 150/1 Stan James
5 January 13.15
I think it might be fairly well known that Van Den Berg grew up at East London and this is the course where he learnt to play golf so it is quite safe to say he knows this course better than any other player on show this week. One has to be cautious when using this sort of information - bascally has he translated this knowledge into decent tournament performances on the course? - the answer is yes. Last year he was 9th here when it was just a Sunshine tour event and back in 2000 he led an event going into the final round before finishing 2nd. His form before Christmas was OK - he led the Alfred Dunhill after round one in a stronger field finally finishing 12th (the 4th best South African on show). I do think he is a bit of a "nervy" character when near the lead - hence the different plays in different markets and I will probably use the Betfair win bet to trade should he get close.
5 January 10.49
Right - first golf bet of 2010 is Ulrich Van Den Berg in the African Open - will post reasons in a bit but I have had the following bets
£37.50 ew 100/1 Tote/Ladbrokes
£35 win 145 average Betfair
£20 ew 35/1 top ROW Bet365
£20 ew Rd 1 leader 75/1 Skybet
3 January 23.34
No further reply from Centrebet - apart from an apology for sending me the wrong email! Anyway - as I have looked for quite a while at the tennis this week I kind of feel obliged to have a bet but will feel my way slowly and will start with a couple of small bets for Brisbane in the shape of Baghdatis £25 @16/1 and Melzer £15 33/1. Will be back tomorrow maybe with the first golf bet of 2010.

2 January 22.58
Will keep this going as this is quite frankly a joke from a so-called big bookmaker


Account number: 83232 (not mine)

Dear Martin (not me)

Thank you for your email.

First I would like to apologise for the service and time frame it took
to reply to your email.

In some cases we get a high influx of emails that come through and at
times it can take a while to answer client emails and yours was one of
these.
At any given time we can have up to 200 emails to answer and that will
take a considerable amount of time to answer.

In saying that we at Centrebet do value your clientele and would like to
offer you a goodwill gesture free bet of 1000NOK.

We would also like to give you another email address you can email and
those emails will get answered in a timely manner for you if this is
what you would like to do ,the alternative email address for you to
email is complaints@centrebet.com

Can you please return an email if you wish to reopen your account as the
free bet is waiting on the account for you.


If you have any queries please do not hesitate to contact us.

Kind regards,

Peter
Centrebet Supervisor

To which I replied

Dear Sirs
After a really serious complaint I really cannot believe you have responded
in the fashion below
a) you quote someone elses account number and therefore address me as
Martin!!
b) you do not answer my question but offer me 1000NOK whatever that might be
I am sorry but this is an absolute joke - what an awful way to run a company
Ian Richards

2 January 14.22
I really wanted to start off the year on a positive happy note but the email I have just had to send points out all that is bad about this game

Dear Sirs
I thought Centrebet was a thoroughly professional international bookmaker however you have just stooped to
the lowest possible behaviour by any bookmaker - declining a bet and cutting the odds.
I just tried to place two small wagers on the Brisbane tennis outright
Mens - Llodra £10 125 - declined and price cut to 80/1
Womens - Petrova £30 30/1 - declined and price cut to 22/1
I believe you owe me an explanation.
Regards
Ian Richards
 
 
sportsbettingindex.com
home | bookmakers | odds comparison | betting blog | betting tools | useful sites | newsletters | tipping results